1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:04,420 四年前,在第一任任期最后一年的川普放话要Ban TikTok 2 00:00:04,420 --> 00:00:07,860 那个时候还没有大批的TikTok Refugees涌入小红书 3 00:00:07,860 --> 00:00:10,380 想要了解美国人真实想法的中国人 4 00:00:10,380 --> 00:00:13,000 也只能依靠另一个途径来满足好奇心 5 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:20,880 郭杰瑞成为了中国最火的外国人 6 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:22,440 做了无数个街访影片 7 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:26,240 其中就包括美国人如何看川普要制裁TikTok 8 00:00:26,240 --> 00:00:30,060 四年后,曾经要制裁TikTok的川普摇身一变 9 00:00:30,060 --> 00:00:32,100 成了拯救TikTok的大英雄 10 00:00:32,100 --> 00:00:36,080 而郭杰瑞主页的更新时间也停留了在2022年 11 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:38,700 自从TikTok难民来小红书安家以来 12 00:00:38,700 --> 00:00:42,240 中国网友不再需要郭杰瑞替他们向美国人发问 13 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:45,280 但是在轰轰烈烈的大队长运动之后 14 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:47,820 还是有不少中国网友想起了郭杰瑞 15 00:00:47,820 --> 00:00:48,980 并开始感叹 16 00:00:48,980 --> 00:00:51,620 原来郭锥以前说的都对 17 00:00:51,620 --> 00:00:53,380 美国人真的没有存款 18 00:00:53,380 --> 00:00:55,320 看不起医生比我们郭的累 19 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:56,220 中国,你怎么知道 20 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:57,140 真的太好了 21 00:00:57,140 --> 00:00:59,040 大家好,我是乐乐法力 22 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:03,040 我们都一起见证了中美网友在小红书上的短暂蜜月期 23 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:06,060 前期是中国人热烈欢迎美国难民 24 00:01:06,060 --> 00:01:10,680 中期是美国难民给中国人提供民族自豪感的情绪价值 25 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:12,660 也就是所谓的大队长运动 26 00:01:12,660 --> 00:01:13,920 现在TikTok回归 27 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:17,740 大批美国人已经拍拍屁股回到了他们的舒适老家 28 00:01:17,740 --> 00:01:21,400 现在我们也终于进入了这一场好戏的下一个阶段 29 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:23,200 那就是大队长运动中 30 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:26,060 获得了足量多巴胺和满足感的中国人 31 00:01:26,060 --> 00:01:28,980 讲要如何面对这一场狂欢过后 32 00:01:28,980 --> 00:01:30,460 中人离去的冷情 33 00:01:30,460 --> 00:01:33,540 毕竟三年前的外交部发言人赵立坚所说的 34 00:01:33,540 --> 00:01:35,780 中国来去自由 35 00:01:35,780 --> 00:01:37,740 指的就是这些TikTok难民 36 00:01:37,740 --> 00:01:39,380 而当然不是中国人自己 37 00:01:39,380 --> 00:01:42,260 那么在选择留下来的外国人中 38 00:01:42,260 --> 00:01:46,060 会不会有人能够接上郭杰瑞曾经留下来的这一棒 39 00:01:46,060 --> 00:01:49,380 继续为国人充值民族主义的多巴胺呢 40 00:01:49,380 --> 00:01:51,160 For sure, dude 41 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:52,240 But first 42 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:53,640 无论你支持谁 43 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:55,960 围绕着TikTok禁令的这一整场 44 00:01:56,060 --> 00:01:56,780 大戏 45 00:01:56,780 --> 00:01:59,900 川普绝对是其中最大的赢家 46 00:01:59,900 --> 00:02:01,820 TikTok在18号被禁之后 47 00:02:01,820 --> 00:02:04,420 过了12个小时又迅速解禁 48 00:02:04,420 --> 00:02:07,860 并且平台在每一个用户的TikTok界面都显示 49 00:02:07,860 --> 00:02:11,100 这一切都归功于川普总统的努力 50 00:02:11,100 --> 00:02:14,660 这绝对是我这辈子见过最好的人设营销 51 00:02:14,660 --> 00:02:16,700 这一步只见为刚上任的川普 52 00:02:16,700 --> 00:02:19,260 赢得了非常多年轻选民的欢心 53 00:02:19,260 --> 00:02:21,460 也让他被视为TikTok的拯救者 54 00:02:21,460 --> 00:02:22,500 哦 55 00:02:22,500 --> 00:02:24,340 关注我很久的朋友们应该都知道 56 00:02:24,340 --> 00:02:25,660 我对于TikTok的看法 57 00:02:25,660 --> 00:02:26,780 如果你是新来的 58 00:02:26,780 --> 00:02:28,780 你可以点击这个链接去了解一下 59 00:02:28,780 --> 00:02:30,080 我不得不承认 60 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:32,400 自己对TikTok用户一直有一些 61 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,540 有非常负面的刻板印象 62 00:02:34,540 --> 00:02:36,260 而小红书的大对上运动 63 00:02:36,260 --> 00:02:39,300 更是让我对这些TikTokers的无知和愚蠢 64 00:02:39,300 --> 00:02:40,380 大开眼界 65 00:02:40,380 --> 00:02:41,820 向我彻底证实了 66 00:02:41,820 --> 00:02:44,580 How truly awful this app is for your mind 67 00:02:44,580 --> 00:02:46,300 Especially when it comes 68 00:02:46,300 --> 00:02:48,880 to those of us that really understand 69 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:51,400 How beneficial this app is for the CCP 70 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:51,920 Still 71 00:02:51,920 --> 00:02:53,520 In my old age 72 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:55,120 I don't fret too much 73 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:55,640 on such things 74 00:02:55,660 --> 00:02:56,160 revelations 75 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:56,540 Instead 76 00:02:56,540 --> 00:02:58,020 I like to dive deep into them 77 00:02:58,020 --> 00:02:59,980 Work through them as a mental exercise 78 00:02:59,980 --> 00:03:00,780 Akin to chewing 79 00:03:00,780 --> 00:03:02,540 through a fat piece of bubble gum 80 00:03:02,540 --> 00:03:04,760 这就回到了我们今天的话题 81 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:07,700 What type of foreigners did we see on小红书 82 00:03:07,700 --> 00:03:09,820 How many of them are still there 83 00:03:09,820 --> 00:03:11,100 How long will they be there 84 00:03:11,100 --> 00:03:12,640 And are they really what's behind 85 00:03:12,640 --> 00:03:14,640 Dolingo's stock rocketing up recently 86 00:03:14,640 --> 00:03:15,480 Maybe 87 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:16,520 I don't know 88 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,600 我们可以先来研究一下TikTok难民中的几类人 89 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,520 一是跟风前来的普通TikTok用户 90 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,480 无论他们是如何把这一场互联网跟风 91 00:03:25,660 --> 00:03:27,200 包装成自己对权威 92 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:28,660 对政府的反抗 93 00:03:28,660 --> 00:03:32,100 他们唯一在乎的还是找到可替代的惊险毒品 94 00:03:32,100 --> 00:03:33,660 对于这一类用户来说 95 00:03:33,660 --> 00:03:35,980 小红书只是暂时的替代品 96 00:03:35,980 --> 00:03:37,500 当TikTok一解禁 97 00:03:37,500 --> 00:03:39,220 他们就会立刻回去 98 00:03:39,220 --> 00:03:42,220 而这也是大部分前往小红书的TikTok难民 99 00:03:42,220 --> 00:03:43,840 另一类TikTok难民呢 100 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:47,080 则是本身就在TikTok上有很大影响力的网红 101 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:49,660 他们因为担心自己的网红生涯 102 00:03:49,660 --> 00:03:51,400 因为TikTok禁令中断 103 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:53,680 所以他们都要先来占个位再说 104 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:54,960 毕竟对于他们来说 105 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:56,700 有奶的平台就是娘 106 00:03:56,700 --> 00:03:57,960 一旦TikTok回归 107 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:01,700 他们就会回到以前赖以生存的平台上去继续发展 108 00:04:01,700 --> 00:04:05,900 这也就使得留在小红书上的TikTok难民只剩下两种 109 00:04:05,900 --> 00:04:10,820 一是曾经在TikTok上偶然尝到一点点流量甜头的网红Wannabe 110 00:04:10,820 --> 00:04:12,660 因为尝过流浪带来的快感 111 00:04:12,660 --> 00:04:14,180 所以当他们来到小红书 112 00:04:14,180 --> 00:04:16,660 发现既不需要初衷的能力 113 00:04:16,660 --> 00:04:17,900 或者初衷的掌上 114 00:04:17,900 --> 00:04:20,540 甚至可以通过零努力 115 00:04:20,540 --> 00:04:24,020 就轻松获取了此生以来最多的流量和点赞时 116 00:04:24,020 --> 00:04:24,940 他们成为网红 117 00:04:24,940 --> 00:04:28,460 网红的渴望瞬间就被这种激励给升级了 118 00:04:28,460 --> 00:04:30,780 就算如今他们可以回归TikTok 119 00:04:30,780 --> 00:04:33,840 他们也不会愿意这么快就离开小红书 120 00:04:33,840 --> 00:04:38,180 因为他们还想在这里继续做一下当网红赚大钱的梦 121 00:04:38,180 --> 00:04:40,300 只有当他们逐渐意识到 122 00:04:40,300 --> 00:04:42,740 基本上很难从这个APP赚钱 123 00:04:42,740 --> 00:04:46,360 光靠点赞和观看量获得的多巴胺会渐渐消退 124 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:48,740 如果再没有金钱作为驱动力 125 00:04:48,740 --> 00:04:50,900 他们最终也会离开小红书 126 00:04:50,900 --> 00:04:52,900 最后经过层层筛选 127 00:04:52,900 --> 00:04:54,920 留下来的就是潜在的杨洁 128 00:04:54,940 --> 00:04:58,380 我爱中国 129 00:04:58,380 --> 00:05:01,180 我爱中国 so much 130 00:05:01,180 --> 00:05:17,180 我们的媒体是被拥有的企业 131 00:05:17,180 --> 00:05:22,960 中国人在 literally everything 132 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:24,360 他们在做事 133 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:24,920 在做事 134 00:05:54,920 --> 00:06:22,120 是非常难超平 ag 135 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:22,240 说是 136 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:23,360 比如零元购 137 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:24,060 枪击案 138 00:06:24,060 --> 00:06:24,920 看不起病患 139 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:28,140 郭泽锐亲自前往了底特律的街头 140 00:06:28,140 --> 00:06:30,120 给大家展示美国的萧条 141 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:31,580 那么他的接班人 142 00:06:31,580 --> 00:06:34,000 或许可以前往洛杉矶的Skid Row 143 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:36,240 在那个流浪汉的大本营 144 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:38,680 给大家展示美国的危险和没落 145 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:40,620 他对上运动 146 00:06:40,620 --> 00:06:43,800 是美国人提前送给中国人的新年礼物 147 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:45,260 但是他带来的快感 148 00:06:45,260 --> 00:06:46,620 很快就会过去 149 00:06:46,620 --> 00:06:47,580 过不了多久 150 00:06:47,580 --> 00:06:49,000 随着中国人的精神 151 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:50,700 再次被996 007 152 00:06:50,700 --> 00:06:52,860 以及越来越下行的中国经济压倒 153 00:06:52,860 --> 00:06:56,160 他们会需要更多这样的中美对比 154 00:06:56,160 --> 00:07:00,140 来缓解现实生活中的苦难 155 00:07:00,140 --> 00:07:03,140 And as pathetic as that phenomenon is 156 00:07:03,140 --> 00:07:04,580 it's without a doubt 157 00:07:04,580 --> 00:07:06,180 one of the best business opportunities 158 00:07:06,180 --> 00:07:08,860 in the online influencer market right now 159 00:07:08,860 --> 00:07:10,920 Who is going to harness 160 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:12,000 有点像川普 161 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:13,400 Who is going to harness 162 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,540 the power of information asymmetry 163 00:07:15,540 --> 00:07:18,320 and meet the needs of this ever-growing demand 164 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:19,860 I showed you some candidates 165 00:07:19,860 --> 00:07:21,000 that I think have potential 166 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:22,540 but please send me ones 167 00:07:22,540 --> 00:07:24,940 that you guys think have what it takes 168 00:07:24,940 --> 00:07:25,820 Lastly 169 00:07:25,820 --> 00:07:27,260 I want to say one more thing on TikTok 170 00:07:27,260 --> 00:07:28,000 最大的赢家 171 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:29,360 其实除了川普之外 172 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,380 还是坐收雨力的中国政府 173 00:07:31,380 --> 00:07:33,280 他们不仅保住了TikTok的算法 174 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:36,200 以及它能够持续在美国社会起到的影响力 175 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:40,300 同时还在这一波TikTok难民奔赴小红书的浪潮中 176 00:07:40,300 --> 00:07:42,820 收获了无数意想不到的宣传 177 00:07:42,820 --> 00:07:45,020 而输家却是我们所有人 178 00:07:45,020 --> 00:07:46,280 中国广大网民 179 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,780 虽然获得了短暂的民族主义快感 180 00:07:48,780 --> 00:07:51,200 但是在信息差和偏见之中 181 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:52,520 更加深陷了一步 182 00:07:52,540 --> 00:07:54,220 美国的大部分民众 183 00:07:54,220 --> 00:07:56,220 尤其是TikTok用可得的快感 184 00:07:56,220 --> 00:07:58,300 他们不会团结起来去抗议什么 185 00:07:58,300 --> 00:08:00,160 美国的腐败医保系统 186 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:02,760 或者大银行购买房屋台价等等问题 187 00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:04,700 而只知道行使他们的权利 188 00:08:04,700 --> 00:08:07,780 满足自己获得TikTok这种惊险毒品的需求 189 00:08:07,780 --> 00:08:09,240 这让我想起来 190 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:10,700 我曾经在北京上学时 191 00:08:10,700 --> 00:08:12,580 在公交车上看到的一幕 192 00:08:12,580 --> 00:08:15,240 车窗外是雾霾笼罩的天 193 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:17,220 车窗内的每一个人 194 00:08:17,220 --> 00:08:20,420 都如饥似渴地盯着他们手机屏幕 195 00:08:20,420 --> 00:08:21,080 Like this 196 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:22,520 那正是二十年 197 00:08:22,540 --> 00:08:24,240 2016年抖音短视频 198 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:25,200 兴起的那一年 199 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:26,860 没有人在乎窗外的景象 200 00:08:26,860 --> 00:08:28,520 没有人去想眼前的雾霾 201 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:31,260 大家都选择刷过一个又一个的短视频 202 00:08:31,260 --> 00:08:33,040 来逃避现实生活中的问题 203 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:34,860 我的美国同胞们也同样 204 00:08:34,860 --> 00:08:37,420 不在乎我们的国家正走何种方向 205 00:08:37,420 --> 00:08:39,560 所以不可能只有我一个人在想 206 00:08:39,560 --> 00:08:42,580 我们美国人民的过节日在哪里呢 207 00:08:52,540 --> 00:08:58,920 收集生活想要yeah用我的 riv They 208 00:08:58,920 --> 00:08:59,700 交易 209 00:08:59,700 --> 00:09:00,740 美国 210 00:09:00,740 --> 00:09:02,160 是一种 211 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:02,840 访问 212 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:03,340 行为 213 00:09:03,340 --> 00:09:04,060 用一为 214 00:09:04,060 --> 00:09:04,900 紧急 215 00:09:04,900 --> 00:09:05,580 adequately 216 00:09:05,580 --> 00:09:06,180 持续 217 00:09:06,180 --> 00:09:06,800 继续 218 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:07,440 rell Pepper 219 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:08,040 뜻 220 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:08,560 应该藏在 221 00:09:08,560 --> 00:09:09,160 信徒 222 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:09,780 以 223 00:09:09,780 --> 00:09:11,260 我们 224 00:09:11,260 --> 00:09:12,140 最为 225 00:09:12,140 --> 00:09:12,720 信联 226 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:13,340 我们 227 00:09:13,340 --> 00:09:14,380 一 228 00:09:14,380 --> 00:09:14,780 绝 229 00:09:14,780 --> 00:09:15,420 你的 230 00:09:15,420 --> 00:09:16,600 污 fork 231 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:17,160 请 232 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:17,520 提供 233 00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:17,920 健康 234 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:18,020 存储 235 00:09:18,020 --> 00:09:18,480 收购 236 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:19,220 食物 237 00:09:19,220 --> 00:09:19,660 船 238 00:09:19,660 --> 00:09:20,100 宝 239 00:09:20,100 --> 00:09:20,420 山 240 00:09:20,420 --> 00:09:20,960 建筑 241 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:21,460 银 242 00:09:21,460 --> 00:09:22,000 访 243 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:22,380 河 244 00:09:22,380 --> 00:09:22,440 和 245 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:22,520 村