WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:00.899 四年前 00:00:00.899 --> 00:00:02.930 在第一任任期最后一年的川普 00:00:02.930 --> 00:00:04.350 放话要制裁TikTok 00:00:04.350 --> 00:00:05.160 那个时候 00:00:05.160 --> 00:00:07.860 还没有大批的TikTok难民涌入小红书 00:00:07.860 --> 00:00:10.380 想要了解美国人真实想法的中国人 00:00:10.380 --> 00:00:12.000 也只能依靠另一个途径 00:00:12.000 --> 00:00:12.860 来满足好奇心 00:00:12.860 --> 00:00:14.010 -大家好,我是郭杰瑞 00:00:14.010 --> 00:00:15.700 -我是一个来自 00:00:15.700 --> 00:00:17.968 -美国纽约的... 00:00:17.968 --> 00:00:18.750 -自媒体人 00:00:18.750 --> 00:00:20.750 郭杰瑞成为了中国最火的外国人 00:00:20.750 --> 00:00:22.350 做了无数个街访影片 00:00:22.350 --> 00:00:23.630 其中就包括 00:00:23.630 --> 00:00:26.240 美国人如何看川普要制裁TikTok 00:00:26.240 --> 00:00:27.055 四年后 00:00:27.055 --> 00:00:30.060 曾经要制裁TikTok的川普摇身一变 00:00:30.060 --> 00:00:32.100 成了拯救TikTok的大英雄 00:00:32.100 --> 00:00:34.130 而郭杰瑞主页的更新时间 00:00:34.130 --> 00:00:36.080 也停留在了2022年 00:00:36.080 --> 00:00:38.700 自从TikTok难民来小红书安家以来 00:00:38.700 --> 00:00:40.648 中国网友不再需要郭杰瑞 00:00:40.648 --> 00:00:42.240 替他们向美国人发问 00:00:42.240 --> 00:00:45.280 但在轰轰烈烈的"大对账运动"之后 00:00:45.280 --> 00:00:47.820 还是有不少中国网友想起了郭杰瑞 00:00:47.820 --> 00:00:48.980 并开始感叹: 00:00:48.980 --> 00:00:51.620 原来郭锥以前说的都对! 00:00:51.620 --> 00:00:53.380 美国人真的没有存款 00:00:53.380 --> 00:00:54.350 看不起医生 00:00:54.350 --> 00:00:55.320 比我们过得累! 00:00:55.320 --> 00:00:57.310 中国, 真的太好了! 00:00:57.740 --> 00:00:59.040 大家好,我是乐乐法利 00:00:59.040 --> 00:01:00.360 我们都一起见证了 00:01:00.360 --> 00:01:03.040 中美网友在小红书上的短暂蜜月期 00:01:03.040 --> 00:01:06.060 前期是中国人热烈欢迎美国难民 00:01:06.060 --> 00:01:08.110 中期是美国难民给中国人 00:01:08.110 --> 00:01:10.680 提供民族自豪感的情绪价值 00:01:10.680 --> 00:01:12.660 也就是所谓的"大对账运动" 00:01:12.660 --> 00:01:13.920 现在TikTok回归 00:01:13.920 --> 00:01:15.985 大批美国人已经拍拍屁股 00:01:15.985 --> 00:01:17.740 回到了他们的舒适老家 00:01:17.740 --> 00:01:19.470 现在我们也终于进入了 00:01:19.470 --> 00:01:21.400 这一场好戏的下一个阶段 00:01:21.400 --> 00:01:23.200 那就是"大对账运动"中 00:01:23.200 --> 00:01:24.720 获得了足量多巴胺 00:01:24.720 --> 00:01:26.060 和满足感的中国人 00:01:26.060 --> 00:01:28.980 将要如何面对这一场狂欢过后 00:01:28.980 --> 00:01:30.560 众人离去的冷清 00:01:30.560 --> 00:01:31.340 毕竟三年前 00:01:31.340 --> 00:01:33.540 外交部发言人赵立坚所说的: 00:01:33.540 --> 00:01:35.780 -中国来去自由 00:01:35.780 --> 00:01:37.740 指的就是这些TikTok难民 00:01:37.740 --> 00:01:39.380 而当然不是中国人自己 00:01:39.380 --> 00:01:42.260 那么在选择留下来的外国人中 00:01:42.260 --> 00:01:43.962 会不会有人能够接上 00:01:43.962 --> 00:01:46.060 郭杰瑞曾经留下来的这一棒 00:01:46.060 --> 00:01:49.630 继续为国人充值民族主义的多巴胺呢? 00:01:49.850 --> 00:01:51.221 绝对的! 00:01:51.221 --> 00:01:52.490 但首先 00:01:52.490 --> 00:01:53.640 无论你支持谁 00:01:53.640 --> 00:01:56.620 围绕着TikTok禁令的这一整场大戏 00:01:56.620 --> 00:01:59.720 川普绝对是其中最大的赢家 00:01:59.720 --> 00:02:01.820 TikTok在18号被禁之后 00:02:01.820 --> 00:02:04.220 过了12个小时又迅速解禁 00:02:04.220 --> 00:02:05.790 并且平台在每一个用户的 00:02:05.790 --> 00:02:07.860 TikTok界面都显示: 00:02:07.860 --> 00:02:10.930 "这一切都归功于川普总统的努力" 00:02:10.930 --> 00:02:12.426 这绝对是我这辈子 00:02:12.426 --> 00:02:14.430 见过最好的人设营销 00:02:14.430 --> 00:02:16.700 这一步直接为刚上任的川普 00:02:16.700 --> 00:02:19.070 赢得了非常多年轻选民的欢心 00:02:19.070 --> 00:02:21.350 也让他被视为"TikTok的拯救者" 00:02:22.280 --> 00:02:24.200 关注我很久的朋友们应该都知道 00:02:24.200 --> 00:02:25.470 我对于TikTok的看法 00:02:25.470 --> 00:02:26.630 如果你是新来的 00:02:26.630 --> 00:02:28.997 你可以点击这个链接去了解一下 00:02:28.997 --> 00:02:30.080 我不得不承认 00:02:30.080 --> 00:02:32.550 自己对TikTok用户一直有一些... 00:02:32.550 --> 00:02:34.540 有非常负面的刻板印象 00:02:34.540 --> 00:02:36.260 而小红书的"大对账运动" 00:02:36.260 --> 00:02:39.300 更是让我对这些TikTokers的无知和愚蠢 00:02:39.300 --> 00:02:40.490 大开眼界 00:02:40.490 --> 00:02:41.670 向我彻底证实了 00:02:41.670 --> 00:02:44.580 这个软件对你的思想有多大的负面影响 00:02:44.580 --> 00:02:47.002 特别是对于我们这些真正理解 00:02:47.002 --> 00:02:48.880 这个应用软件对CCP 00:02:48.880 --> 00:02:51.543 有多大好处的人来说 00:02:51.543 --> 00:02:52.490 但是 00:02:52.490 --> 00:02:53.710 In my old age随着我年纪渐长 00:02:53.710 --> 00:02:56.160 我不再为这样的事情而过于烦恼 00:02:56.160 --> 00:02:56.657 相反 00:02:56.657 --> 00:02:58.020 我现在喜欢去深入探究它们 00:02:58.020 --> 00:02:59.980 把这些问题当作一个个的思维练习 00:02:59.980 --> 00:03:02.665 就像是在嚼一块大泡泡糖一样 00:03:02.665 --> 00:03:04.760 这就回到了我们今天的话题 00:03:04.760 --> 00:03:07.880 我们在小红书上看到的外国人都是怎样的? 00:03:07.880 --> 00:03:09.910 他们当中还有多少没有离开? 00:03:09.910 --> 00:03:11.160 他们还在会在小红书上待多久? 00:03:11.160 --> 00:03:13.400 他们是最近多邻国股价上涨 00:03:13.400 --> 00:03:14.960 背后的关键因素吗? 00:03:14.960 --> 00:03:15.720 或许吧 00:03:15.720 --> 00:03:16.520 谁知道呢 00:03:16.520 --> 00:03:17.966 我们可以先来研究一下 00:03:17.966 --> 00:03:19.600 TikTok难民中的几类人 00:03:19.600 --> 00:03:22.520 一是跟风前来的普通TikTok用户 00:03:22.520 --> 00:03:25.510 无论他们是如何把这一场互联网跟风 00:03:25.510 --> 00:03:27.010 包装成自己对权威 00:03:27.010 --> 00:03:28.580 对政府的反抗 00:03:28.580 --> 00:03:29.660 他们唯一在乎的 00:03:29.660 --> 00:03:31.890 还是找到可替代的精神毒品 00:03:31.890 --> 00:03:33.660 对于这一类用户来说 00:03:33.660 --> 00:03:35.980 小红书只是暂时的替代品 00:03:35.980 --> 00:03:37.390 当TikTok一解禁 00:03:37.390 --> 00:03:39.000 他们就会立刻回去 00:03:39.000 --> 00:03:40.370 而这也是大部分 00:03:40.370 --> 00:03:42.130 前往小红书的TikTok难民 00:03:42.130 --> 00:03:43.720 另一类TikTok难民呢 00:03:43.720 --> 00:03:45.300 则是本身就在TikTok上 00:03:45.300 --> 00:03:47.080 有很大影响力的网红 00:03:47.080 --> 00:03:49.490 他们因为担心自己的网红生涯 00:03:49.490 --> 00:03:51.260 因为TikTok禁令中断 00:03:51.260 --> 00:03:53.590 所以他们都要先来占个位再说 00:03:53.590 --> 00:03:54.850 毕竟对于他们来说 00:03:54.850 --> 00:03:56.700 有奶的平台就是娘 00:03:56.700 --> 00:03:58.130 一旦TikTok回归 00:03:58.130 --> 00:03:59.550 他们就会回到以前 00:03:59.550 --> 00:04:01.700 赖以生存的平台上去继续发展 00:04:01.700 --> 00:04:03.630 这也就使得留在小红书上的 00:04:03.630 --> 00:04:05.900 TikTok难民只剩下两种 00:04:05.900 --> 00:04:08.480 一是曾经在TikTok上偶然尝到 00:04:08.480 --> 00:04:10.850 一点点流量甜头的网红Wannabe 00:04:10.850 --> 00:04:12.660 因为尝过流量带来的快感 00:04:12.660 --> 00:04:14.180 所以当他们来到小红书 00:04:14.180 --> 00:04:16.660 发现既不需要出众的能力 00:04:16.660 --> 00:04:17.900 或者出众的长相 00:04:17.900 --> 00:04:20.630 甚至可以通过零努力 00:04:20.630 --> 00:04:22.271 就轻松获取了此生以来 00:04:22.271 --> 00:04:24.020 最多的流量和点赞时 00:04:24.020 --> 00:04:25.940 他们成为网红的渴望 00:04:25.940 --> 00:04:28.460 瞬间就被这种激励给升级了 00:04:28.460 --> 00:04:30.780 就算如今他们可以回归TikTok 00:04:30.780 --> 00:04:32.730 他们也不会愿意这么快 00:04:32.730 --> 00:04:33.840 就离开小红书 00:04:33.840 --> 00:04:35.508 因为他们还想在这里 00:04:35.508 --> 00:04:38.520 继续做一下当网红赚大钱的梦 00:04:38.520 --> 00:04:40.300 只有当他们逐渐意识到 00:04:40.300 --> 00:04:42.740 基本上很难从这个APP赚钱 00:04:42.740 --> 00:04:44.274 光靠点赞和观看量 00:04:44.274 --> 00:04:46.520 获得的多巴胺会渐渐消退 00:04:46.520 --> 00:04:48.740 如果再没有金钱作为驱动力 00:04:48.740 --> 00:04:50.900 他们最终也会离开小红书 00:04:50.900 --> 00:04:52.900 最后经过层层筛选 00:04:52.900 --> 00:04:55.140 留下来的就是潜在的洋五毛 00:04:55.140 --> 00:04:56.960 -你好吗, 小红书 00:04:56.960 --> 00:04:58.518 -我爱中国! 00:04:58.518 --> 00:05:01.150 00:05:01.150 --> 00:05:17.180 00:05:37.370 --> 00:05:38.660 -我想要和中国人一道走 00:05:38.660 --> 00:05:41.139 如果郭杰瑞是大外宣届的迈克尔·乔丹 00:05:41.139 --> 00:05:43.689 我想要找到他的继位者科比·布莱恩 00:05:43.689 --> 00:05:45.019 下一个明日之星 00:05:45.019 --> 00:05:47.257 刚刚这些人他们都有潜力 00:05:47.257 --> 00:05:48.497 尤其是最后那位大哥 00:05:48.497 --> 00:05:50.598 在这行"最有潜力"意味着 00:05:50.598 --> 00:05:54.460 你在自己的国家越失败越边缘 00:05:54.460 --> 00:05:55.650 在这里指的就是美国 00:05:55.650 --> 00:05:58.016 你就越容易对于自己 00:05:58.016 --> 00:06:01.619 能够在遥远的东方,在中国 00:06:15.502 --> 00:06:16.502 成为一个有名且更特别的人 00:06:18.811 --> 00:06:19.811 包有更高的期待 00:06:22.120 --> 00:06:22.240 说是 00:06:22.240 --> 00:06:23.360 比如零元购 00:06:23.360 --> 00:06:24.060 枪击案 00:06:24.060 --> 00:06:24.920 看不起病患 00:06:24.920 --> 00:06:28.140 郭泽锐亲自前往了底特律的街头 00:06:28.140 --> 00:06:30.120 给大家展示美国的萧条 00:06:30.120 --> 00:06:31.580 那么他的接班人 00:06:31.580 --> 00:06:34.000 或许可以前往洛杉矶的Skid Row 00:06:34.000 --> 00:06:36.240 在那个流浪汉的大本营 00:06:36.240 --> 00:06:38.680 给大家展示美国的危险和没落 00:06:38.680 --> 00:06:40.620 他对上运动 00:06:40.620 --> 00:06:43.800 是美国人提前送给中国人的新年礼物 00:06:43.800 --> 00:06:45.260 但是他带来的快感 00:06:45.260 --> 00:06:46.620 很快就会过去 00:06:46.620 --> 00:06:47.580 过不了多久 00:06:47.580 --> 00:06:49.000 随着中国人的精神 00:06:49.000 --> 00:06:50.700 再次被996 007 00:06:50.700 --> 00:06:52.860 以及越来越下行的中国经济压倒 00:06:52.860 --> 00:06:56.160 他们会需要更多这样的中美对比 00:06:56.160 --> 00:07:00.140 来缓解现实生活中的苦难 00:07:00.140 --> 00:07:03.140 And as pathetic as that phenomenon is 00:07:03.140 --> 00:07:04.580 it's without a doubt 00:07:04.580 --> 00:07:06.180 one of the best business opportunities 00:07:06.180 --> 00:07:08.860 in the online influencer market right now 00:07:08.860 --> 00:07:10.920 Who is going to harness 00:07:10.920 --> 00:07:12.000 有点像川普 00:07:12.000 --> 00:07:13.400 Who is going to harness 00:07:13.400 --> 00:07:15.540 the power of information asymmetry 00:07:15.540 --> 00:07:18.320 and meet the needs of this ever-growing demand 00:07:18.320 --> 00:07:19.860 I showed you some candidates 00:07:19.860 --> 00:07:21.000 that I think have potential 00:07:21.000 --> 00:07:22.540 but please send me ones 00:07:22.540 --> 00:07:24.940 that you guys think have what it takes 00:07:24.940 --> 00:07:25.820 Lastly 00:07:25.820 --> 00:07:27.260 I want to say one more thing on TikTok 00:07:27.260 --> 00:07:28.000 最大的赢家 00:07:28.000 --> 00:07:29.360 其实除了川普之外 00:07:29.360 --> 00:07:31.380 还是坐收雨力的中国政府 00:07:31.380 --> 00:07:33.280 他们不仅保住了TikTok的算法 00:07:33.280 --> 00:07:36.200 以及它能够持续在美国社会起到的影响力 00:07:36.200 --> 00:07:40.300 同时还在这一波TikTok难民奔赴小红书的浪潮中 00:07:40.300 --> 00:07:42.820 收获了无数意想不到的宣传 00:07:42.820 --> 00:07:45.020 而输家却是我们所有人 00:07:45.020 --> 00:07:46.280 中国广大网民 00:07:46.280 --> 00:07:48.780 虽然获得了短暂的民族主义快感 00:07:48.780 --> 00:07:51.200 但是在信息差和偏见之中 00:07:51.200 --> 00:07:52.520 更加深陷了一步 00:07:52.540 --> 00:07:54.220 美国的大部分民众 00:07:54.220 --> 00:07:56.220 尤其是TikTok用可得的快感 00:07:56.220 --> 00:07:58.300 他们不会团结起来去抗议什么 00:07:58.300 --> 00:08:00.160 美国的腐败医保系统 00:08:00.160 --> 00:08:02.760 或者大银行购买房屋台价等等问题 00:08:02.760 --> 00:08:04.700 而只知道行使他们的权利 00:08:04.700 --> 00:08:07.780 满足自己获得TikTok这种惊险毒品的需求 00:08:07.780 --> 00:08:09.240 这让我想起来 00:08:09.240 --> 00:08:10.700 我曾经在北京上学时 00:08:10.700 --> 00:08:12.580 在公交车上看到的一幕 00:08:12.580 --> 00:08:15.240 车窗外是雾霾笼罩的天 00:08:15.240 --> 00:08:17.220 车窗内的每一个人 00:08:17.220 --> 00:08:20.420 都如饥似渴地盯着他们手机屏幕 00:08:20.420 --> 00:08:21.080 Like this 00:08:21.080 --> 00:08:22.520 那正是二十年 00:08:22.540 --> 00:08:24.240 2016年抖音短视频 00:08:24.240 --> 00:08:25.200 兴起的那一年 00:08:25.200 --> 00:08:26.860 没有人在乎窗外的景象 00:08:26.860 --> 00:08:28.520 没有人去想眼前的雾霾 00:08:28.520 --> 00:08:31.260 大家都选择刷过一个又一个的短视频 00:08:31.260 --> 00:08:33.040 来逃避现实生活中的问题 00:08:33.040 --> 00:08:34.860 我的美国同胞们也同样 00:08:34.860 --> 00:08:37.420 不在乎我们的国家正走何种方向 00:08:37.420 --> 00:08:39.560 所以不可能只有我一个人在想 00:08:39.560 --> 00:08:42.580 我们美国人民的过节日在哪里呢 00:08:52.540 --> 00:08:58.920 收集生活想要yeah用我的 riv They 00:08:58.920 --> 00:08:59.700 交易 00:08:59.700 --> 00:09:00.740 美国 00:09:00.740 --> 00:09:02.160 是一种 00:09:02.160 --> 00:09:02.840 访问 00:09:02.840 --> 00:09:03.340 行为 00:09:03.340 --> 00:09:04.060 用一为 00:09:04.060 --> 00:09:04.900 紧急 00:09:04.900 --> 00:09:05.580 adequately 00:09:05.580 --> 00:09:06.180 持续 00:09:06.180 --> 00:09:06.800 继续 00:09:06.800 --> 00:09:07.440 rell Pepper 00:09:07.440 --> 00:09:08.040 뜻 00:09:08.040 --> 00:09:08.560 应该藏在 00:09:08.560 --> 00:09:09.160 信徒 00:09:09.160 --> 00:09:09.780 以 00:09:09.780 --> 00:09:11.260 我们 00:09:11.260 --> 00:09:12.140 最为 00:09:12.140 --> 00:09:12.720 信联 00:09:12.720 --> 00:09:13.340 我们 00:09:13.340 --> 00:09:14.380 一 00:09:14.380 --> 00:09:14.780 绝 00:09:14.780 --> 00:09:15.420 你的 00:09:15.420 --> 00:09:16.600 污 fork 00:09:16.600 --> 00:09:17.160 请 00:09:17.160 --> 00:09:17.520 提供 00:09:17.520 --> 00:09:17.920 健康 00:09:17.920 --> 00:09:18.020 存储 00:09:18.020 --> 00:09:18.480 收购 00:09:18.480 --> 00:09:19.220 食物 00:09:19.220 --> 00:09:19.660 船 00:09:19.660 --> 00:09:20.100 宝 00:09:20.100 --> 00:09:20.420 山 00:09:20.420 --> 00:09:20.960 建筑 00:09:20.960 --> 00:09:21.460 银 00:09:21.460 --> 00:09:22.000 访 00:09:22.000 --> 00:09:22.380 河 00:09:22.380 --> 00:09:22.440 和 00:09:22.440 --> 00:09:22.520 村