1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Tyler] In the next two videos, 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we'll turn our attention to price floors 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and their effects. 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In this video, we'll look at the first two effects 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and cover one of the most well-known price floors: 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the minimum wage. 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's get started. 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A price floor is a minimum price allowed by law. 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That is, it is a price below which it is illegal 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to buy or sell, 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 called a price floor because you cannot go below the floor. 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We're going to show that price floors create 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 four significant effects: 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 surpluses, lost gains from trade, wasteful increases in quality, 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and a misallocation of resources. 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We're going to go through these each in turn. 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Before we do so, however, it is worthwhile asking this question: 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 price floors are less common than price ceilings – 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 why is this? 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That is it's more common to see a price being held 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 below the market price, 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 than it is to see a price being held above the market price. 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Why? One reason may be political. 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That is, there are typically more buyers of goods 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 than there are sellers of goods. 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So when you hold a price below the market price, 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you may benefit, or at least appear to benefit, more buyers, 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 more people, more voters 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 than when you hold a price above the market price, 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which would appear to harm buyers. 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now interestingly, the paradigmatic, 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the classic case of a price floor is the exception which proves the rule. 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because the classic case of a price floor is a good 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for which there are more sellers than there are buyers. 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So here's the case where the price is kept above the market price, 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it make sense politically because there are lots of sellers 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 compared to buyers. 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, what is this good, for which price floor is common, 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and for which sellers exceed buyers? 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We'll get to that in just a moment. 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Think about it. 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So one of the things which a price floor does 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is it creates surpluses. 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Okay. Now, have you thought of the good which a price floor is common, 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it's a good for which the number of suppliers 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 exceeds the number of buyers? 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, the minimum wage is a price floor. 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The minimum wage is a price below which you cannot sell labor, 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the suppliers of labor exceed the buyers of labor. 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, it's not surprisingly that a minimum wage 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is often politically successful. 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, who will the minimum wage affect? 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Workers with very high productivity who already earning 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 more than the minimum wage – 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they are not going to be affected by the minimum wage perhaps at all. 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Instead, it will affect the least experienced, 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 least educated, least trained workers. 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Low-skilled teenagers, for example, are most likely to be affected by the minimum wage. 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, I said that a price floor creates surpluses. 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The minimum wage is a price floor, 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 so it's going to create a surplus. 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A surplus of labor we call what? 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We say a gaggle of geese? 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Say pride of lions? 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A surplus of labor is called unemployment. 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So let's look with our model to understand 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 how a minimum wage can create unemployment, 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 particularly among the least skilled workers. 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Okay. Here's our standard diagram, 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 except we're going to put the quantity of labor, 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 especially unskilled labor, on the horizontal axis. 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The wage or the price of labor on the vertical axis. 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's our supply curve. 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's our demand curve with the market wage and the market employment level. 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now we're going to add the minimum wage. 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This is a price floor below which 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it is illegal to buy or sell this good, labor. 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, we just read the consequences of the price floor of the diagram. 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So we read, for example, 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that at the minimum wage, the quantity of labor demanded 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is read off the demand curve. 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Remember, this is the demand for labor. 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, this is the quantity of labor demanded, 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and at the minimum wage, the quantity of labor supplied 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is read off the supply curve. 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's put that point on, that's Qs. 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So we have Qs units of labor supplied, 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Qd units of labor demanded. 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Qs is bigger than Qd, 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 so, the difference between them is a surplus of labor, 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 also known as unemployment. 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now the minimum wage is a controversy and hotly debated issue. 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Some academic results indicate 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that the unemployment effect of a modest increase in the minimum wage 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 would not be substantial. 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 At the same time, however, we also have to recognize 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that a modest increase in the minimum wage would not have big benefits either. 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 First, only a small percentage of workers 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are going to be affected by the minimum wage. 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 97% or so of workers already earn more than the minimum wage. 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In fact, even among young workers, 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 94% or so less than 25 years of age, 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they already earn more than the minimum wage. 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 At best, the minimum wage will raise the wages 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of some low-skilled and young workers, 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 most of whose wages would have increased anyway 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as they became more skilled. 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 At worst, the minimum wage will increase the price of a hamburger, 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 create some unemployment 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and/or keep some teenagers in school for a bit longer. 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Not all necessarily bad things. 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What, however, about a larger increase in the minimum wage? 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Few economists doubt 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that a large increase in the minimum wage 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 would cause serious unemployment. 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 After all, we could not create prosperity 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by raising the minimum wage higher and higher. 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If a minimum wage of 10 dollars an hour is a good idea, what about 15? 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What about 20? 25? 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A hundred dollars? 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 500 dollars an hour? 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Would we all be rich at that point? 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Would we all be receiving wages of 500 dollars an hour? 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Of course not. 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Most of us would be unemployed. 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So a large increase in the minimum wage 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is going to cause serious Unemployment, 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the good example of this is Puerto Rico in 1938. 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Congress actually set the first minimum wage at this time 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at 25 cents an hour. 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, that may seem Low, 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but that's at the time when the average wage in the United States 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 was still less than a dollar an hour, 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 was 62 and a half cents an hour. 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Congress, however, forgot to exempt Puerto Rico. 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 When the average wages in Puerto Rico at that time 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 were much lower than in the rest of the United States, 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 only three cents to four cents an hour. 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So this modest increase in the minimum wage 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for the continental United States 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 was a huge increase in the minimum wage for Puerto Rico. 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And lots of Puerto Rican firms went Bankrupt, 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it created devastating unemployment. 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In fact, Puerto Rican politicians came to Washington 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to beg for an exemption to get them out of the minimum wage. 146 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, a large increase in the minimum wage 147 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 would certainly cause substantial and serious unemployment. 148 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We do see higher minimum wages in other countries. 149 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The minimum wage in France is higher than the U.S. 150 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 relative to average wages in those two countries. 151 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In addition, labor laws in France 152 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 make it very difficult to fire workers 153 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 once they have been hired. 154 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As a result, firms in France are very reluctant to hire new workers. 155 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Younger workers are especially affected because they are less productive 156 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and also they are less known commodities. 157 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, the risk of hiring them is greater. 158 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As a result, unemployment among young workers is very high in France. 159 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It was 23% in 2005, and that was long before at the economic crisis, 160 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the financial crisis affecting the entire world. 161 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So even during good times, unemployment in France among young workers is very high 162 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because the minimum wage is high, 163 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and because firms don't want to hire, 164 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 given how difficult it is to fire workers. 165 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Okay. Let's also show that the minimum wage creates lost gains from trade – 166 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this ought to be fairly familiar by now. 167 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 At the minimum wage, the quantity of labor demanded 168 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is given by Qd. 169 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That is less than the quantity of labor which would be traded 170 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 given the market wage, 171 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this market employment. 172 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Key point is that there are buyers of labor 173 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who are willing to buy labor at a price below the minimum wage, 174 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and there are suppliers of labor, 175 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 workers who are willing to work below the minimum wage. 176 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These deals would be mutually profitable, but they are illegal. 177 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, there are buyers of labor 178 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 who are willing to buy below the minimum wage, 179 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there are sellers willing to sell. 180 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These deals would be mutually profitable, but they are illegal, they are not made. 181 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because of that, there are lost gains from trade or a deadweight loss. 182 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Okay. So, we have covered the first two effects of price floors, 183 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 namely surpluses and lost grains from trade. 184 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In the next lecture, we will use a slightly different example 185 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to look at wasteful increases in quality and a misallocation of resources. 186 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Announcer] If you want to test yourself, 187 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 click Practice Questions. 188 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Or, if you're ready to move on, just click Next Video.