WEBVTT 00:00:07.473 --> 00:00:09.839 I grew up in the 1960s, 00:00:09.839 --> 00:00:14.714 watching those TV commercials with those starving kids in Africa 00:00:14.714 --> 00:00:19.288 who stared vacantly at the camera with sad eyes and distended bellies. 00:00:19.288 --> 00:00:21.183 And in sixth grade, 00:00:21.183 --> 00:00:24.766 my glee club teacher, Mr. Collins, 00:00:24.766 --> 00:00:27.897 had us change the words in this song we were singing - 00:00:27.897 --> 00:00:31.764 (Singing) "Three billion people in the world" - 00:00:31.764 --> 00:00:32.948 to 00:00:33.265 --> 00:00:36.491 (Singing) "Four billion people in the world." 00:00:36.491 --> 00:00:38.050 And I was shocked. 00:00:38.050 --> 00:00:41.181 I couldn't believe that the population was so big. 00:00:41.181 --> 00:00:42.675 And I was even more shocked 00:00:42.675 --> 00:00:46.802 because no one else in the class seemed at all disturbed by this fact. 00:00:46.802 --> 00:00:49.373 A couple of days later, I told my friend Suzy Hollander 00:00:49.373 --> 00:00:52.807 that because there seemed to be too many people in the world 00:00:52.807 --> 00:00:54.262 for it to handle, 00:00:54.262 --> 00:00:57.068 that I wasn't going to have any kids. 00:00:57.068 --> 00:01:00.674 And she looked at me, and she replied that she was going to have three. 00:01:01.364 --> 00:01:05.240 And I felt pretty alone in my beliefs. 00:01:05.398 --> 00:01:06.821 And 37 years later, 00:01:06.821 --> 00:01:09.166 I still feel pretty alone in my beliefs, 00:01:09.166 --> 00:01:15.526 and I'm still shocked that not more people are disturbed by population growth. 00:01:15.526 --> 00:01:21.363 And I think it's because as a species we've decided not to talk about it, 00:01:21.363 --> 00:01:23.564 to kind of tuck it away. 00:01:24.004 --> 00:01:26.398 So I'm here to untuck it. 00:01:28.318 --> 00:01:33.177 Modern man first showed up on earth 200,000 years ago. 00:01:33.177 --> 00:01:34.961 And by 1850, 00:01:34.961 --> 00:01:37.587 we had reproduced so successfully, 00:01:37.587 --> 00:01:41.110 there were 1 billion people on the planet. 00:01:41.620 --> 00:01:47.791 That means it took 200,000 years for us to put the first billion people on earth. 00:01:48.261 --> 00:01:51.583 The next billion came in 100 years. 00:01:52.428 --> 00:01:55.416 200,000 years to get to the first billion; 00:01:55.416 --> 00:01:58.500 100 years to get to the second billion; 00:01:58.637 --> 00:02:04.558 now, we add 1 billion people to the planet every 12 years. 00:02:04.558 --> 00:02:09.194 And in 2011, the world population reached 7 billion people. 00:02:09.774 --> 00:02:11.655 Now, this surge in growth 00:02:11.655 --> 00:02:16.659 came about because of improvements in agriculture and medicine, 00:02:16.659 --> 00:02:20.782 because as a species, we are a biological success story. 00:02:20.782 --> 00:02:24.186 Survival of the fittest - we have survived! 00:02:24.517 --> 00:02:26.691 And we're also a religious success story: 00:02:26.691 --> 00:02:29.577 we have gone forth and multiplied. 00:02:29.577 --> 00:02:30.577 (Laughter) 00:02:30.577 --> 00:02:32.568 But now we have to stop, 00:02:32.568 --> 00:02:34.599 or it will be our downfall. 00:02:34.599 --> 00:02:38.467 And just to give you an idea of how fast population grows: 00:02:38.467 --> 00:02:43.586 Bangladesh had a hurricane that killed 139,000 people. 00:02:44.136 --> 00:02:50.687 How long did it take Bangladesh to replace those deaths with 139,000 new births? 00:02:50.687 --> 00:02:52.593 Two and a half weeks. 00:02:53.783 --> 00:02:56.937 Now, the world population is growing at just 1% a year, 00:02:56.937 --> 00:02:58.701 which might not sound like very much, 00:02:58.701 --> 00:03:03.395 but 1% of seven billion is actually a big number. 00:03:03.395 --> 00:03:09.824 It means that every day we add 220,000 people to the planet - 00:03:09.824 --> 00:03:11.399 every day. 00:03:11.399 --> 00:03:13.844 And this is unsustainable, 00:03:14.334 --> 00:03:16.212 which means that at some point, 00:03:16.212 --> 00:03:19.155 the world population is going to stop growing. 00:03:19.155 --> 00:03:21.716 The question is how? 00:03:22.586 --> 00:03:28.591 Will it stop growing because of famine, disease, a war over resources? 00:03:28.881 --> 00:03:33.972 Or will it stop growing because people choose to have smaller families? 00:03:34.632 --> 00:03:38.494 And by "smaller families," I mean one-child families. 00:03:39.014 --> 00:03:41.016 This is where people start getting nervous 00:03:41.016 --> 00:03:43.551 talking about overpopulation and population issues 00:03:43.551 --> 00:03:45.351 because they're scared 00:03:45.351 --> 00:03:48.338 that I'm going to take away their rights to have children. 00:03:48.718 --> 00:03:51.002 But I don't want to take people's rights away; 00:03:51.002 --> 00:03:53.734 I want to give people rights. 00:03:53.734 --> 00:03:58.008 Forcing people to have fewer children does not work. 00:03:58.008 --> 00:03:59.160 In fact, 00:03:59.160 --> 00:04:03.799 the fastest and most efficient way to stabilize the world population 00:04:03.799 --> 00:04:07.471 is to send girls to school and to empower women 00:04:07.471 --> 00:04:11.852 and to give everyone access to and education on birth control. 00:04:11.852 --> 00:04:14.094 And those are good things. 00:04:14.094 --> 00:04:15.400 And as a culture, 00:04:15.400 --> 00:04:18.483 we need to emphasize the benefits of having a one-child family 00:04:18.483 --> 00:04:21.474 so people will choose to have fewer kids. 00:04:21.874 --> 00:04:23.395 Because for thousands of years, 00:04:23.395 --> 00:04:29.039 we've been inculcated with this ethic that big families are happy families 00:04:29.039 --> 00:04:31.392 and only children are lonely children. 00:04:31.392 --> 00:04:35.873 Couples like myself and my husband, Ian, who have chosen not to have kids 00:04:35.873 --> 00:04:39.064 were child-less instead of child-free. 00:04:39.064 --> 00:04:44.884 And myself, several times, I have been accused of being selfish 00:04:44.884 --> 00:04:48.188 because of my decision not to have children. 00:04:48.188 --> 00:04:49.890 And all this made sense 00:04:49.890 --> 00:04:53.341 when it was important for us to procreate for our survival. 00:04:53.341 --> 00:04:54.804 But now? 00:04:56.374 --> 00:04:59.804 For our survival, we have to not procreate. 00:04:59.804 --> 00:05:04.269 And we have to change and rewire our biology and our culture 00:05:04.269 --> 00:05:07.276 to recognize the benefits of a one-child family 00:05:07.276 --> 00:05:10.442 because right now, mostly what we see is the negatives. 00:05:10.442 --> 00:05:11.925 For example, 00:05:12.625 --> 00:05:14.402 when a country's population falls, 00:05:14.402 --> 00:05:17.437 there's all this economic doom and gloom in the media 00:05:17.437 --> 00:05:20.908 because capitalism is based on eternal growth. 00:05:20.908 --> 00:05:25.420 Capitalism depends upon more and more consumers. 00:05:25.420 --> 00:05:30.830 So yeah - when population lowers, the economy will suffer. 00:05:31.280 --> 00:05:33.032 But it will suffer less 00:05:33.032 --> 00:05:37.324 than if there's no more oil and food and water 00:05:37.324 --> 00:05:41.556 because there are 10 billion people on the planet in 40 years, 00:05:41.556 --> 00:05:43.894 which is what the UN is projecting. 00:05:45.324 --> 00:05:47.394 Now, you might be thinking, 00:05:47.394 --> 00:05:52.144 "Okay, this population issue sounds troublesome. 00:05:52.144 --> 00:05:55.324 But we should be having the babies. 00:05:55.324 --> 00:05:59.310 We're smart and we're educated and we listen to TED Talks 00:05:59.310 --> 00:06:02.441 and we can afford kids and heck - 00:06:02.441 --> 00:06:05.429 our offspring, they might save the world!" 00:06:05.429 --> 00:06:06.570 Even my mom says, 00:06:06.570 --> 00:06:09.033 "Oh Alexandra, you'd be such a good mother! 00:06:09.033 --> 00:06:11.876 And your kids, they'd be wonderful!" 00:06:11.876 --> 00:06:13.724 And they might be wonderful, 00:06:13.724 --> 00:06:16.020 but they would also be wasteful 00:06:16.020 --> 00:06:19.188 because North Americans use 32 times the resources 00:06:19.188 --> 00:06:21.624 as someone from a developing country, 00:06:21.624 --> 00:06:25.852 so it's even more important that we have smaller families. 00:06:25.852 --> 00:06:27.264 For example, 00:06:27.264 --> 00:06:32.414 someone in the United States, on average, uses 176 gallons of water a day 00:06:32.414 --> 00:06:38.411 compared to the average person from Africa who only uses 5 gallons a day. 00:06:38.411 --> 00:06:41.718 And it's not just vis-à-vis poor countries either. 00:06:41.718 --> 00:06:43.106 We here in the United States, 00:06:43.106 --> 00:06:47.450 we use twice the energy as someone from France or England or Japan. 00:06:47.450 --> 00:06:50.351 There are a lot of countries that have a higher fertility rate 00:06:50.351 --> 00:06:52.261 than we do here in the United States, 00:06:52.261 --> 00:06:55.203 but we all have to aspire to a one-child family, 00:06:55.203 --> 00:06:58.161 especially those of us living here. 00:06:59.911 --> 00:07:00.960 Maybe you're thinking, 00:07:00.960 --> 00:07:04.938 "Well, don't worry, Alexandra - technology will save us." 00:07:05.398 --> 00:07:09.534 Yes, it's possible that we might be able to eke a few more years of resources 00:07:09.534 --> 00:07:13.344 because of some new inventions or technologies. 00:07:13.344 --> 00:07:18.645 But in the end, even if we can feed and house 14 billion people, 00:07:19.195 --> 00:07:21.162 what would their lives be like? 00:07:21.162 --> 00:07:24.066 The population is going to have to stop growing at some point, 00:07:24.066 --> 00:07:25.937 so why not stop now 00:07:25.937 --> 00:07:31.134 instead of wishing that some invention or technology will save us 00:07:31.134 --> 00:07:34.592 that doesn't even exist yet and we're not even sure works? 00:07:36.202 --> 00:07:39.051 So for everyone to have quality of life, 00:07:39.471 --> 00:07:42.217 the number of humans on earth needs to go down. 00:07:42.940 --> 00:07:46.729 And I believe that it needs to go down to 2 billion people, 00:07:46.729 --> 00:07:47.725 which sounds radical 00:07:47.725 --> 00:07:50.822 because there are 7 billion people on the planet today. 00:07:51.222 --> 00:07:55.420 But it's actually the world population of just 80 years ago. 00:07:56.770 --> 00:08:01.610 So let's change our idea of what the ideal family looks like - 00:08:01.610 --> 00:08:04.609 one is a beautiful number. 00:08:04.609 --> 00:08:07.080 And let's not be afraid to talk about overpopulation. 00:08:07.080 --> 00:08:09.653 Because it is not about taking rights away from people; 00:08:09.653 --> 00:08:14.538 it is about giving opportunities to women, children, and future generations. 00:08:15.294 --> 00:08:18.903 And lastly, let's be part of the solution 00:08:18.903 --> 00:08:21.076 and choose, from now on, 00:08:21.076 --> 00:08:25.940 to bring forth no more than one child ourselves. 00:08:25.940 --> 00:08:27.096 Thank you. 00:08:27.096 --> 00:08:28.919 (Applause)