WEBVTT 00:00:00.496 --> 00:00:02.120 What I want to explore in this video is 00:00:02.120 --> 00:00:04.560 the different ways of measuring the amount of money 00:00:04.560 --> 00:00:06.730 we have in circulation. 00:00:06.730 --> 00:00:09.190 So we're going to start things with our Central 00:00:09.190 --> 00:00:10.630 Bank in the US. 00:00:10.630 --> 00:00:13.360 This would be the US Federal Reserve. 00:00:13.360 --> 00:00:17.340 And let's say that they print $4. 00:00:17.340 --> 00:00:19.830 And we're going to focus, just for visualization purposes, 00:00:19.830 --> 00:00:21.400 on that they're doing it physically. 00:00:21.400 --> 00:00:23.244 They could also do it electronically. 00:00:23.244 --> 00:00:25.160 But we're just going to focus on the physical. 00:00:25.160 --> 00:00:27.118 And the way that they get this into circulation 00:00:27.118 --> 00:00:29.100 is it they'll take these $4 and they'll 00:00:29.100 --> 00:00:32.240 go buy securities in the open market, normally 00:00:32.240 --> 00:00:34.310 very safe and very liquid securities. 00:00:34.310 --> 00:00:36.540 Liquid means it's very easy to buy and sell 00:00:36.540 --> 00:00:38.500 those securities in large quantities. 00:00:38.500 --> 00:00:40.050 For example, government treasuries 00:00:40.050 --> 00:00:43.880 is a liquid security, or liquid asset. 00:00:43.880 --> 00:00:45.761 PEZ dispensers would not be a liquid asset. 00:00:45.761 --> 00:00:47.510 If I bought a billion dollars worth of PEZ 00:00:47.510 --> 00:00:49.780 dispensers it would be very hard for me to sell-- one 00:00:49.780 --> 00:00:51.960 it would be very hard for me to buy a billion dollars worth. 00:00:51.960 --> 00:00:53.668 And it would be even probably even harder 00:00:53.668 --> 00:00:57.060 for me to sell a billion dollars worth in any short or medium 00:00:57.060 --> 00:00:58.042 timeframe. 00:00:58.042 --> 00:01:00.500 So the Central Bank goes out, and let's say they go and buy 00:01:00.500 --> 00:01:03.210 one liquid security for $4. 00:01:03.210 --> 00:01:05.300 So this is a security right over here. 00:01:05.300 --> 00:01:07.510 And the person that they bought the security from 00:01:07.510 --> 00:01:09.152 decides to deposit it in a bank. 00:01:09.152 --> 00:01:11.110 They could either directly deposit it in a bank 00:01:11.110 --> 00:01:12.630 or they could use that money that they 00:01:12.630 --> 00:01:14.600 got from selling their security to buy things, 00:01:14.600 --> 00:01:16.183 and the person they bought things from 00:01:16.183 --> 00:01:17.330 could deposit it in a bank. 00:01:17.330 --> 00:01:19.371 But one way or another we can imagine it all gets 00:01:19.371 --> 00:01:21.050 deposited in a bank. 00:01:21.050 --> 00:01:22.810 So this is our private bank. 00:01:22.810 --> 00:01:26.900 I'll call this private bank number one. 00:01:26.900 --> 00:01:30.760 So now all of these dollars are transferred 00:01:30.760 --> 00:01:34.960 to private bank number one. 00:01:34.960 --> 00:01:38.040 And they are no longer-- the Federal Reserve, 00:01:38.040 --> 00:01:40.250 or the Central Bank, in the general case, 00:01:40.250 --> 00:01:42.380 is no longer in possession of them. 00:01:42.380 --> 00:01:44.114 They've been transferred right over here. 00:01:44.114 --> 00:01:45.530 And I want to cross these out just 00:01:45.530 --> 00:01:48.540 so we can keep track of things. 00:01:48.540 --> 00:01:51.670 Now when they deposit it in private bank number one, 00:01:51.670 --> 00:01:55.000 they said, well, I need three of these dollars on demand. 00:01:55.000 --> 00:01:56.880 And I want to write checks against them. 00:01:56.880 --> 00:02:00.979 So they put three of these dollars in a checking account. 00:02:00.979 --> 00:02:03.270 There are at three of these dollars a checking account. 00:02:03.270 --> 00:02:13.390 So checks up too-- so write checks up to $3. 00:02:13.390 --> 00:02:15.490 And so they can get a little bit more interest, 00:02:15.490 --> 00:02:17.090 and the bank's willing to give a little bit more interest 00:02:17.090 --> 00:02:18.923 on a savings account because they don't have 00:02:18.923 --> 00:02:22.530 to keep the reserves, they put $1 into a savings account. 00:02:25.214 --> 00:02:27.630 And they cannot write checks against that savings account. 00:02:27.630 --> 00:02:29.296 Now there are special circumstances now, 00:02:29.296 --> 00:02:32.380 but for simplicity, let's just say that they cannot write 00:02:32.380 --> 00:02:32.880 checks. 00:02:32.880 --> 00:02:34.921 There are some that have restricted check writing 00:02:34.921 --> 00:02:36.200 and things like that now. 00:02:36.200 --> 00:02:38.920 So this bank says, OK, well, this dollar, I 00:02:38.920 --> 00:02:40.920 don't have to even have any reserves against it. 00:02:40.920 --> 00:02:42.128 I could loan out this dollar. 00:02:42.128 --> 00:02:43.680 And the person they lend it to, let's 00:02:43.680 --> 00:02:47.130 say that they immediately go and deposit it into another bank. 00:02:47.130 --> 00:02:50.830 So they immediately go and deposit this in private bank, 00:02:50.830 --> 00:02:52.550 I'll call this private bank two. 00:02:52.550 --> 00:02:54.920 So it's no longer in private bank one. 00:02:54.920 --> 00:02:57.120 Let me draw a private bank two. 00:02:57.120 --> 00:03:00.880 Private bank two is a right over here. 00:03:00.880 --> 00:03:04.690 Private bank number two. 00:03:04.690 --> 00:03:07.470 And they deposit it into a savings account 00:03:07.470 --> 00:03:10.540 in private bank number two. 00:03:10.540 --> 00:03:12.710 And let's say all of this, out of all of this, 00:03:12.710 --> 00:03:15.460 the bank says, well, this is a demand deposit, 00:03:15.460 --> 00:03:16.960 I have to keep some reserves. 00:03:16.960 --> 00:03:18.640 This is a fractional reserve system. 00:03:18.640 --> 00:03:21.670 But I can lend out, in the US, I could lend out up to 90% 00:03:21.670 --> 00:03:22.270 of this. 00:03:22.270 --> 00:03:24.000 And maybe this bank is a little bit more conservative, 00:03:24.000 --> 00:03:25.680 They only lend out 2/3 of this. 00:03:25.680 --> 00:03:27.737 So they lend out $2 out of these $3 00:03:27.737 --> 00:03:29.570 And let's say the person they let it do also 00:03:29.570 --> 00:03:31.910 happens to deposit it in private bank number 00:03:31.910 --> 00:03:33.700 two, just coincidentally. 00:03:33.700 --> 00:03:40.060 So these two also end up in private bank number two. 00:03:40.060 --> 00:03:45.250 And so they're no longer in private bank number 00:03:45.250 --> 00:03:48.760 one, although this person could still write checks up to $3. 00:03:48.760 --> 00:03:50.420 And now here in private bank number 00:03:50.420 --> 00:03:52.045 two-- and let's say these are deposited 00:03:52.045 --> 00:03:53.590 in a checking account. 00:03:53.590 --> 00:03:58.260 These are deposited right over here in a checking account. 00:03:58.260 --> 00:04:00.910 Now private bank number two, it can do a couple of things. 00:04:00.910 --> 00:04:03.160 In this checking account it has to keep some reserves. 00:04:03.160 --> 00:04:04.310 Let's say it's even more conservative. 00:04:04.310 --> 00:04:06.018 It only decides to lend out half of this, 00:04:06.018 --> 00:04:08.280 even though it could lend out 90%. 00:04:08.280 --> 00:04:11.264 And so it lends out one of these dollars. 00:04:11.264 --> 00:04:13.680 And the person that they lend it to just takes that dollar 00:04:13.680 --> 00:04:15.860 and they put it in their wallet. 00:04:15.860 --> 00:04:17.360 So they just put it in their wallet. 00:04:17.360 --> 00:04:19.594 And they could also lend out this entire savings. 00:04:19.594 --> 00:04:21.010 And let's just say that the person 00:04:21.010 --> 00:04:24.370 that they lend that $1 in savings to also 00:04:24.370 --> 00:04:25.370 puts it in their wallet. 00:04:28.370 --> 00:04:30.790 And notice, the original $4 are still there. 00:04:30.790 --> 00:04:32.890 One, two, three, four. 00:04:32.890 --> 00:04:35.870 Now, and just to be clear, this person right over here can 00:04:35.870 --> 00:04:37.420 write checks up to $3 . 00:04:37.420 --> 00:04:39.290 And this person right over here can 00:04:39.290 --> 00:04:43.770 write checks-- let me do that same checking account 00:04:43.770 --> 00:04:53.350 color-- they can write checks up to $2. 00:04:53.350 --> 00:04:55.780 Now let's think about the different forms of money 00:04:55.780 --> 00:04:56.770 there are here. 00:04:56.770 --> 00:04:59.500 Well, we could think of money in a very, very narrow way, which 00:04:59.500 --> 00:05:03.200 is just what did the Central Bank print, or create 00:05:03.200 --> 00:05:07.210 electronically as electronic reserves of its member banks? 00:05:07.210 --> 00:05:08.710 But for simplicity here you can just 00:05:08.710 --> 00:05:11.060 think about the physical currency that it printed, 00:05:11.060 --> 00:05:12.610 its base money. 00:05:12.610 --> 00:05:17.410 And so that, often, is just referred to as base money. 00:05:17.410 --> 00:05:19.370 And in the US and other countries 00:05:19.370 --> 00:05:21.310 it's often the same thing as M0. 00:05:21.310 --> 00:05:23.640 There's slight differences from country to country. 00:05:23.640 --> 00:05:26.560 And in this example, as soon as they printed it and put it 00:05:26.560 --> 00:05:29.090 into circulation, that was $4. 00:05:29.090 --> 00:05:31.460 We had $4 of base money. 00:05:31.460 --> 00:05:33.770 And that's obvious because as soon as they printed this 00:05:33.770 --> 00:05:35.311 and they bought the security with it, 00:05:35.311 --> 00:05:38.610 and it was in circulation, that $4 could be used to buy things. 00:05:38.610 --> 00:05:41.770 It could be used to facilitate transactions. 00:05:41.770 --> 00:05:44.050 Now that clearly isn't all of the stuff that 00:05:44.050 --> 00:05:47.460 can be used as money in this little universe we created. 00:05:47.460 --> 00:05:50.130 This guy, you have the $4 but these people 00:05:50.130 --> 00:05:52.540 can also write checks right over here. 00:05:52.540 --> 00:05:55.360 And so we can have a slightly broader definition of money. 00:05:55.360 --> 00:05:57.350 And over here, we will call it M1. 00:05:57.350 --> 00:05:59.850 And here, there's a couple of ways you could think about it. 00:05:59.850 --> 00:06:02.300 You could think about it as all of the currency that's 00:06:02.300 --> 00:06:05.700 in people's pockets plus all of the check writing capabilities. 00:06:05.700 --> 00:06:07.200 So if you view it that way it, would 00:06:07.200 --> 00:06:11.340 be this $2 plus $5 of check writing capabilities 00:06:11.340 --> 00:06:12.520 right over here. 00:06:12.520 --> 00:06:14.660 So you could have $2 of physical currency 00:06:14.660 --> 00:06:17.520 that's in people's wallets, not in bank reserves, 00:06:17.520 --> 00:06:24.400 plus the $5 of check writing capability, 00:06:24.400 --> 00:06:26.460 which would give you $7. 00:06:26.460 --> 00:06:28.580 Another way you could view it, you 00:06:28.580 --> 00:06:35.390 could view it as M0 plus checkable deposits. 00:06:35.390 --> 00:06:37.396 I'll just write checks here, plus-- well 00:06:37.396 --> 00:06:39.770 I'll write-- checkable deposits. 00:06:39.770 --> 00:06:41.410 But if you do that, you are now double 00:06:41.410 --> 00:06:43.620 counting because some of the M0 is 00:06:43.620 --> 00:06:46.002 reserves in the checkable deposits. 00:06:46.002 --> 00:06:47.960 Or you could say some of the checkable deposits 00:06:47.960 --> 00:06:50.110 is held as reserves for M0. 00:06:50.110 --> 00:06:53.155 So then you would have to subtract out the bank reserves. 00:06:56.880 --> 00:06:59.239 And so then you would get $4 because we 00:06:59.239 --> 00:07:01.280 don't want to double count these right over here. 00:07:01.280 --> 00:07:04.200 You would get M0 is $4. 00:07:04.200 --> 00:07:06.420 And I want to do that in white. 00:07:06.420 --> 00:07:10.690 M0 is $4. 00:07:10.690 --> 00:07:16.080 The checkable deposits is $5. 00:07:16.080 --> 00:07:17.580 Let me do that in the pink. 00:07:17.580 --> 00:07:19.610 Plus the $5. 00:07:19.610 --> 00:07:22.070 And then you would want to subtract out the reserves. 00:07:22.070 --> 00:07:24.270 And the reserves here, there are $2 of the reserves. 00:07:24.270 --> 00:07:27.080 So minus $2. 00:07:27.080 --> 00:07:30.920 And you would get yourself back to the $7. 00:07:30.920 --> 00:07:33.420 And the whole point of this is so you're not double counting 00:07:33.420 --> 00:07:35.878 something, you're not double counting this right over here, 00:07:35.878 --> 00:07:41.430 as part of checkable deposits and part of the M0. 00:07:41.430 --> 00:07:43.480 You're not using this twice. 00:07:43.480 --> 00:07:45.660 It's not part of the base money. 00:07:45.660 --> 00:07:48.010 It is both the base money and checkable deposits. 00:07:48.010 --> 00:07:49.790 And we don't want to count it twice. 00:07:49.790 --> 00:07:51.272 So the simplest way to think about 00:07:51.272 --> 00:07:53.480 is, well, what can be used in this broader definition 00:07:53.480 --> 00:07:55.110 to facilitate transactions? 00:07:55.110 --> 00:07:57.410 These $2 in people's pockets, and this ability 00:07:57.410 --> 00:07:59.550 to write up to $5 of checks. 00:07:59.550 --> 00:08:02.160 So that's this view right over here. 00:08:02.160 --> 00:08:04.120 And if we want to get even broader than that, 00:08:04.120 --> 00:08:06.806 we can get to something called M2. 00:08:06.806 --> 00:08:08.680 And here we could say, OK, what's immediately 00:08:08.680 --> 00:08:12.280 usable to facilitate a transaction right now? 00:08:12.280 --> 00:08:14.260 So that would be our M1. 00:08:14.260 --> 00:08:16.250 So that would be our $7 of M1. 00:08:16.250 --> 00:08:19.400 Plus things that can be easily converted to M1. 00:08:19.400 --> 00:08:21.220 So for example, these savings accounts 00:08:21.220 --> 00:08:23.110 can be easily converted to checking accounts. 00:08:23.110 --> 00:08:24.530 It might only take a couple of days. 00:08:24.530 --> 00:08:25.920 There might be some restrictions. 00:08:25.920 --> 00:08:27.025 But it can be converted. 00:08:27.025 --> 00:08:29.400 And when it gets converted will change the bank's reserve 00:08:29.400 --> 00:08:30.770 requirements a little bit. 00:08:30.770 --> 00:08:33.360 But it will allow, if this person converts it 00:08:33.360 --> 00:08:36.169 they will have the ability to write more checks. 00:08:36.169 --> 00:08:38.909 So M2 includes M1 plus things that 00:08:38.909 --> 00:08:40.740 are very easy to convert to M1. 00:08:40.740 --> 00:08:45.515 And so they'll include things like savings accounts, money 00:08:45.515 --> 00:08:47.640 market accounts, which I won't go into detail here. 00:08:47.640 --> 00:08:49.190 But they're really kind of similar in that you 00:08:49.190 --> 00:08:50.470 get slightly higher interest, but there 00:08:50.470 --> 00:08:52.440 are restrictions on your ability to access it. 00:08:52.440 --> 00:08:56.480 But it's not too hard to turn it into checking accounts. 00:08:56.480 --> 00:09:00.070 And small dollar value time deposit, CD accounts. 00:09:00.070 --> 00:09:02.070 But for the sake of simplicity, in this example, 00:09:02.070 --> 00:09:03.990 it would be the saving accounts. 00:09:03.990 --> 00:09:09.620 So it would be our $7 of M1, plus the $2 00:09:09.620 --> 00:09:11.180 of savings accounts right over here. 00:09:15.527 --> 00:09:17.110 So this is just to give you a picture. 00:09:17.110 --> 00:09:18.190 When someone talks about the money 00:09:18.190 --> 00:09:19.380 supply you really have to say, well, 00:09:19.380 --> 00:09:20.504 what are you talking about? 00:09:20.504 --> 00:09:23.680 The most typical one is that you're really talking about M1, 00:09:23.680 --> 00:09:27.060 because this is the stuff that's directly usable to facilitate 00:09:27.060 --> 00:09:27.880 transactions. 00:09:27.880 --> 00:09:29.588 Things like the ability to write a check, 00:09:29.588 --> 00:09:31.520 or dollar bills in someone's wallet. 00:09:31.520 --> 00:09:35.310 But they might be talking about base money, M0, narrow money, 00:09:35.310 --> 00:09:36.930 always of referring to the same thing, 00:09:36.930 --> 00:09:38.070 especially in the United States. 00:09:38.070 --> 00:09:40.410 Or they might be referring to something even broader. 00:09:40.410 --> 00:09:41.785 And there are broader definitions 00:09:41.785 --> 00:09:44.400 even than M2, although M3, they've 00:09:44.400 --> 00:09:45.720 stopped reporting about it. 00:09:45.720 --> 00:09:48.630 But M3 would have things that are a little bit further 00:09:48.630 --> 00:09:51.760 from being true money, from being a checking account. 00:09:51.760 --> 00:09:53.980 But they are already fairly liquid 00:09:53.980 --> 00:09:56.130 and so they'll include other types of assets. 00:09:56.130 --> 00:09:57.880 But the Fed has stopped reporting 00:09:57.880 --> 00:10:00.420 this in the recent past. 00:10:00.420 --> 00:10:04.130 So these are the ones that are typically referred to.