1 00:00:00,496 --> 00:00:02,120 What I want to explore in this video is 2 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:04,560 the different ways of measuring the amount of money 3 00:00:04,560 --> 00:00:06,730 we have in circulation. 4 00:00:06,730 --> 00:00:09,190 So we're going to start things with our Central 5 00:00:09,190 --> 00:00:10,630 Bank in the US. 6 00:00:10,630 --> 00:00:13,360 This would be the US Federal Reserve. 7 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:17,340 And let's say that they print $4. 8 00:00:17,340 --> 00:00:19,830 And we're going to focus, just for visualization purposes, 9 00:00:19,830 --> 00:00:21,400 on that they're doing it physically. 10 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:23,244 They could also do it electronically. 11 00:00:23,244 --> 00:00:25,160 But we're just going to focus on the physical. 12 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:27,118 And the way that they get this into circulation 13 00:00:27,118 --> 00:00:29,100 is it they'll take these $4 and they'll 14 00:00:29,100 --> 00:00:32,240 go buy securities in the open market, normally 15 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:34,310 very safe and very liquid securities. 16 00:00:34,310 --> 00:00:36,540 Liquid means it's very easy to buy and sell 17 00:00:36,540 --> 00:00:38,500 those securities in large quantities. 18 00:00:38,500 --> 00:00:40,050 For example, government treasuries 19 00:00:40,050 --> 00:00:43,880 is a liquid security, or liquid asset. 20 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:45,761 PEZ dispensers would not be a liquid asset. 21 00:00:45,761 --> 00:00:47,510 If I bought a billion dollars worth of PEZ 22 00:00:47,510 --> 00:00:49,780 dispensers it would be very hard for me to sell-- one 23 00:00:49,780 --> 00:00:51,960 it would be very hard for me to buy a billion dollars worth. 24 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:53,668 And it would be even probably even harder 25 00:00:53,668 --> 00:00:57,060 for me to sell a billion dollars worth in any short or medium 26 00:00:57,060 --> 00:00:58,042 timeframe. 27 00:00:58,042 --> 00:01:00,500 So the Central Bank goes out, and let's say they go and buy 28 00:01:00,500 --> 00:01:03,210 one liquid security for $4. 29 00:01:03,210 --> 00:01:05,300 So this is a security right over here. 30 00:01:05,300 --> 00:01:07,510 And the person that they bought the security from 31 00:01:07,510 --> 00:01:09,152 decides to deposit it in a bank. 32 00:01:09,152 --> 00:01:11,110 They could either directly deposit it in a bank 33 00:01:11,110 --> 00:01:12,630 or they could use that money that they 34 00:01:12,630 --> 00:01:14,600 got from selling their security to buy things, 35 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:16,183 and the person they bought things from 36 00:01:16,183 --> 00:01:17,330 could deposit it in a bank. 37 00:01:17,330 --> 00:01:19,371 But one way or another we can imagine it all gets 38 00:01:19,371 --> 00:01:21,050 deposited in a bank. 39 00:01:21,050 --> 00:01:22,810 So this is our private bank. 40 00:01:22,810 --> 00:01:26,900 I'll call this private bank number one. 41 00:01:26,900 --> 00:01:30,760 So now all of these dollars are transferred 42 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:34,960 to private bank number one. 43 00:01:34,960 --> 00:01:38,040 And they are no longer-- the Federal Reserve, 44 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:40,250 or the Central Bank, in the general case, 45 00:01:40,250 --> 00:01:42,380 is no longer in possession of them. 46 00:01:42,380 --> 00:01:44,114 They've been transferred right over here. 47 00:01:44,114 --> 00:01:45,530 And I want to cross these out just 48 00:01:45,530 --> 00:01:48,540 so we can keep track of things. 49 00:01:48,540 --> 00:01:51,670 Now when they deposit it in private bank number one, 50 00:01:51,670 --> 00:01:55,000 they said, well, I need three of these dollars on demand. 51 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:56,880 And I want to write checks against them. 52 00:01:56,880 --> 00:02:00,979 So they put three of these dollars in a checking account. 53 00:02:00,979 --> 00:02:03,270 There are at three of these dollars a checking account. 54 00:02:03,270 --> 00:02:13,390 So checks up too-- so write checks up to $3. 55 00:02:13,390 --> 00:02:15,490 And so they can get a little bit more interest, 56 00:02:15,490 --> 00:02:17,090 and the bank's willing to give a little bit more interest 57 00:02:17,090 --> 00:02:18,923 on a savings account because they don't have 58 00:02:18,923 --> 00:02:22,530 to keep the reserves, they put $1 into a savings account. 59 00:02:25,214 --> 00:02:27,630 And they cannot write checks against that savings account. 60 00:02:27,630 --> 00:02:29,296 Now there are special circumstances now, 61 00:02:29,296 --> 00:02:32,380 but for simplicity, let's just say that they cannot write 62 00:02:32,380 --> 00:02:32,880 checks. 63 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:34,921 There are some that have restricted check writing 64 00:02:34,921 --> 00:02:36,200 and things like that now. 65 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:38,920 So this bank says, OK, well, this dollar, I 66 00:02:38,920 --> 00:02:40,920 don't have to even have any reserves against it. 67 00:02:40,920 --> 00:02:42,128 I could loan out this dollar. 68 00:02:42,128 --> 00:02:43,680 And the person they lend it to, let's 69 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:47,130 say that they immediately go and deposit it into another bank. 70 00:02:47,130 --> 00:02:50,830 So they immediately go and deposit this in private bank, 71 00:02:50,830 --> 00:02:52,550 I'll call this private bank two. 72 00:02:52,550 --> 00:02:54,920 So it's no longer in private bank one. 73 00:02:54,920 --> 00:02:57,120 Let me draw a private bank two. 74 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:00,880 Private bank two is a right over here. 75 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,690 Private bank number two. 76 00:03:04,690 --> 00:03:07,470 And they deposit it into a savings account 77 00:03:07,470 --> 00:03:10,540 in private bank number two. 78 00:03:10,540 --> 00:03:12,710 And let's say all of this, out of all of this, 79 00:03:12,710 --> 00:03:15,460 the bank says, well, this is a demand deposit, 80 00:03:15,460 --> 00:03:16,960 I have to keep some reserves. 81 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:18,640 This is a fractional reserve system. 82 00:03:18,640 --> 00:03:21,670 But I can lend out, in the US, I could lend out up to 90% 83 00:03:21,670 --> 00:03:22,270 of this. 84 00:03:22,270 --> 00:03:24,000 And maybe this bank is a little bit more conservative, 85 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:25,680 They only lend out 2/3 of this. 86 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:27,737 So they lend out $2 out of these $3 87 00:03:27,737 --> 00:03:29,570 And let's say the person they let it do also 88 00:03:29,570 --> 00:03:31,910 happens to deposit it in private bank number 89 00:03:31,910 --> 00:03:33,700 two, just coincidentally. 90 00:03:33,700 --> 00:03:40,060 So these two also end up in private bank number two. 91 00:03:40,060 --> 00:03:45,250 And so they're no longer in private bank number 92 00:03:45,250 --> 00:03:48,760 one, although this person could still write checks up to $3. 93 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:50,420 And now here in private bank number 94 00:03:50,420 --> 00:03:52,045 two-- and let's say these are deposited 95 00:03:52,045 --> 00:03:53,590 in a checking account. 96 00:03:53,590 --> 00:03:58,260 These are deposited right over here in a checking account. 97 00:03:58,260 --> 00:04:00,910 Now private bank number two, it can do a couple of things. 98 00:04:00,910 --> 00:04:03,160 In this checking account it has to keep some reserves. 99 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:04,310 Let's say it's even more conservative. 100 00:04:04,310 --> 00:04:06,018 It only decides to lend out half of this, 101 00:04:06,018 --> 00:04:08,280 even though it could lend out 90%. 102 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:11,264 And so it lends out one of these dollars. 103 00:04:11,264 --> 00:04:13,680 And the person that they lend it to just takes that dollar 104 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:15,860 and they put it in their wallet. 105 00:04:15,860 --> 00:04:17,360 So they just put it in their wallet. 106 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:19,594 And they could also lend out this entire savings. 107 00:04:19,594 --> 00:04:21,010 And let's just say that the person 108 00:04:21,010 --> 00:04:24,370 that they lend that $1 in savings to also 109 00:04:24,370 --> 00:04:25,370 puts it in their wallet. 110 00:04:28,370 --> 00:04:30,790 And notice, the original $4 are still there. 111 00:04:30,790 --> 00:04:32,890 One, two, three, four. 112 00:04:32,890 --> 00:04:35,870 Now, and just to be clear, this person right over here can 113 00:04:35,870 --> 00:04:37,420 write checks up to $3 . 114 00:04:37,420 --> 00:04:39,290 And this person right over here can 115 00:04:39,290 --> 00:04:43,770 write checks-- let me do that same checking account 116 00:04:43,770 --> 00:04:53,350 color-- they can write checks up to $2. 117 00:04:53,350 --> 00:04:55,780 Now let's think about the different forms of money 118 00:04:55,780 --> 00:04:56,770 there are here. 119 00:04:56,770 --> 00:04:59,500 Well, we could think of money in a very, very narrow way, which 120 00:04:59,500 --> 00:05:03,200 is just what did the Central Bank print, or create 121 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:07,210 electronically as electronic reserves of its member banks? 122 00:05:07,210 --> 00:05:08,710 But for simplicity here you can just 123 00:05:08,710 --> 00:05:11,060 think about the physical currency that it printed, 124 00:05:11,060 --> 00:05:12,610 its base money. 125 00:05:12,610 --> 00:05:17,410 And so that, often, is just referred to as base money. 126 00:05:17,410 --> 00:05:19,370 And in the US and other countries 127 00:05:19,370 --> 00:05:21,310 it's often the same thing as M0. 128 00:05:21,310 --> 00:05:23,640 There's slight differences from country to country. 129 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:26,560 And in this example, as soon as they printed it and put it 130 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:29,090 into circulation, that was $4. 131 00:05:29,090 --> 00:05:31,460 We had $4 of base money. 132 00:05:31,460 --> 00:05:33,770 And that's obvious because as soon as they printed this 133 00:05:33,770 --> 00:05:35,311 and they bought the security with it, 134 00:05:35,311 --> 00:05:38,610 and it was in circulation, that $4 could be used to buy things. 135 00:05:38,610 --> 00:05:41,770 It could be used to facilitate transactions. 136 00:05:41,770 --> 00:05:44,050 Now that clearly isn't all of the stuff that 137 00:05:44,050 --> 00:05:47,460 can be used as money in this little universe we created. 138 00:05:47,460 --> 00:05:50,130 This guy, you have the $4 but these people 139 00:05:50,130 --> 00:05:52,540 can also write checks right over here. 140 00:05:52,540 --> 00:05:55,360 And so we can have a slightly broader definition of money. 141 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:57,350 And over here, we will call it M1. 142 00:05:57,350 --> 00:05:59,850 And here, there's a couple of ways you could think about it. 143 00:05:59,850 --> 00:06:02,300 You could think about it as all of the currency that's 144 00:06:02,300 --> 00:06:05,700 in people's pockets plus all of the check writing capabilities. 145 00:06:05,700 --> 00:06:07,200 So if you view it that way it, would 146 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:11,340 be this $2 plus $5 of check writing capabilities 147 00:06:11,340 --> 00:06:12,520 right over here. 148 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:14,660 So you could have $2 of physical currency 149 00:06:14,660 --> 00:06:17,520 that's in people's wallets, not in bank reserves, 150 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:24,400 plus the $5 of check writing capability, 151 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:26,460 which would give you $7. 152 00:06:26,460 --> 00:06:28,580 Another way you could view it, you 153 00:06:28,580 --> 00:06:35,390 could view it as M0 plus checkable deposits. 154 00:06:35,390 --> 00:06:37,396 I'll just write checks here, plus-- well 155 00:06:37,396 --> 00:06:39,770 I'll write-- checkable deposits. 156 00:06:39,770 --> 00:06:41,410 But if you do that, you are now double 157 00:06:41,410 --> 00:06:43,620 counting because some of the M0 is 158 00:06:43,620 --> 00:06:46,002 reserves in the checkable deposits. 159 00:06:46,002 --> 00:06:47,960 Or you could say some of the checkable deposits 160 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:50,110 is held as reserves for M0. 161 00:06:50,110 --> 00:06:53,155 So then you would have to subtract out the bank reserves. 162 00:06:56,880 --> 00:06:59,239 And so then you would get $4 because we 163 00:06:59,239 --> 00:07:01,280 don't want to double count these right over here. 164 00:07:01,280 --> 00:07:04,200 You would get M0 is $4. 165 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:06,420 And I want to do that in white. 166 00:07:06,420 --> 00:07:10,690 M0 is $4. 167 00:07:10,690 --> 00:07:16,080 The checkable deposits is $5. 168 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:17,580 Let me do that in the pink. 169 00:07:17,580 --> 00:07:19,610 Plus the $5. 170 00:07:19,610 --> 00:07:22,070 And then you would want to subtract out the reserves. 171 00:07:22,070 --> 00:07:24,270 And the reserves here, there are $2 of the reserves. 172 00:07:24,270 --> 00:07:27,080 So minus $2. 173 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:30,920 And you would get yourself back to the $7. 174 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:33,420 And the whole point of this is so you're not double counting 175 00:07:33,420 --> 00:07:35,878 something, you're not double counting this right over here, 176 00:07:35,878 --> 00:07:41,430 as part of checkable deposits and part of the M0. 177 00:07:41,430 --> 00:07:43,480 You're not using this twice. 178 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:45,660 It's not part of the base money. 179 00:07:45,660 --> 00:07:48,010 It is both the base money and checkable deposits. 180 00:07:48,010 --> 00:07:49,790 And we don't want to count it twice. 181 00:07:49,790 --> 00:07:51,272 So the simplest way to think about 182 00:07:51,272 --> 00:07:53,480 is, well, what can be used in this broader definition 183 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:55,110 to facilitate transactions? 184 00:07:55,110 --> 00:07:57,410 These $2 in people's pockets, and this ability 185 00:07:57,410 --> 00:07:59,550 to write up to $5 of checks. 186 00:07:59,550 --> 00:08:02,160 So that's this view right over here. 187 00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:04,120 And if we want to get even broader than that, 188 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:06,806 we can get to something called M2. 189 00:08:06,806 --> 00:08:08,680 And here we could say, OK, what's immediately 190 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:12,280 usable to facilitate a transaction right now? 191 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:14,260 So that would be our M1. 192 00:08:14,260 --> 00:08:16,250 So that would be our $7 of M1. 193 00:08:16,250 --> 00:08:19,400 Plus things that can be easily converted to M1. 194 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,220 So for example, these savings accounts 195 00:08:21,220 --> 00:08:23,110 can be easily converted to checking accounts. 196 00:08:23,110 --> 00:08:24,530 It might only take a couple of days. 197 00:08:24,530 --> 00:08:25,920 There might be some restrictions. 198 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:27,025 But it can be converted. 199 00:08:27,025 --> 00:08:29,400 And when it gets converted will change the bank's reserve 200 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:30,770 requirements a little bit. 201 00:08:30,770 --> 00:08:33,360 But it will allow, if this person converts it 202 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:36,169 they will have the ability to write more checks. 203 00:08:36,169 --> 00:08:38,909 So M2 includes M1 plus things that 204 00:08:38,909 --> 00:08:40,740 are very easy to convert to M1. 205 00:08:40,740 --> 00:08:45,515 And so they'll include things like savings accounts, money 206 00:08:45,515 --> 00:08:47,640 market accounts, which I won't go into detail here. 207 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:49,190 But they're really kind of similar in that you 208 00:08:49,190 --> 00:08:50,470 get slightly higher interest, but there 209 00:08:50,470 --> 00:08:52,440 are restrictions on your ability to access it. 210 00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:56,480 But it's not too hard to turn it into checking accounts. 211 00:08:56,480 --> 00:09:00,070 And small dollar value time deposit, CD accounts. 212 00:09:00,070 --> 00:09:02,070 But for the sake of simplicity, in this example, 213 00:09:02,070 --> 00:09:03,990 it would be the saving accounts. 214 00:09:03,990 --> 00:09:09,620 So it would be our $7 of M1, plus the $2 215 00:09:09,620 --> 00:09:11,180 of savings accounts right over here. 216 00:09:15,527 --> 00:09:17,110 So this is just to give you a picture. 217 00:09:17,110 --> 00:09:18,190 When someone talks about the money 218 00:09:18,190 --> 00:09:19,380 supply you really have to say, well, 219 00:09:19,380 --> 00:09:20,504 what are you talking about? 220 00:09:20,504 --> 00:09:23,680 The most typical one is that you're really talking about M1, 221 00:09:23,680 --> 00:09:27,060 because this is the stuff that's directly usable to facilitate 222 00:09:27,060 --> 00:09:27,880 transactions. 223 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:29,588 Things like the ability to write a check, 224 00:09:29,588 --> 00:09:31,520 or dollar bills in someone's wallet. 225 00:09:31,520 --> 00:09:35,310 But they might be talking about base money, M0, narrow money, 226 00:09:35,310 --> 00:09:36,930 always of referring to the same thing, 227 00:09:36,930 --> 00:09:38,070 especially in the United States. 228 00:09:38,070 --> 00:09:40,410 Or they might be referring to something even broader. 229 00:09:40,410 --> 00:09:41,785 And there are broader definitions 230 00:09:41,785 --> 00:09:44,400 even than M2, although M3, they've 231 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:45,720 stopped reporting about it. 232 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:48,630 But M3 would have things that are a little bit further 233 00:09:48,630 --> 00:09:51,760 from being true money, from being a checking account. 234 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:53,980 But they are already fairly liquid 235 00:09:53,980 --> 00:09:56,130 and so they'll include other types of assets. 236 00:09:56,130 --> 00:09:57,880 But the Fed has stopped reporting 237 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:00,420 this in the recent past. 238 00:10:00,420 --> 00:10:04,130 So these are the ones that are typically referred to.