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Let's, just for the sake of our
imaginations, assume that I'm
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the local loan shark, and you
need a dollar for whatever
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purposes, to feed your
children, or start a
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business or buy a new suit,
whatever it may be.
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And you come to me, and you
say Sal, I need a dollar.
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I need to borrow it for roughly
a year, and I'm going to get a
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great job, or my children will
get a great job, and I'll
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pay you back in a year.
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And I say, oh, that sounds very
good, and I will lend you a
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dollar for the low price, or
the low interest rate, of
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100% annual interest.
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So if you borrow $1 at 100%
interest, if you borrow a
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dollar, in a year from now, I
want that dollar back, and
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I also want 100% of that.
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That's the interest rate.
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The interest rate is
essentially what percentage
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of the original
amount you borrowed.
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That's called the principal
in finance terms.
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That's how much I'm
essentially charging you
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to borrow the money.
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So it'll be $1 principal--
that's what you're borrowing,
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and of course, you have to pay
that back-- plus 100% interest.
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$1.
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That's 100%, right?
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100% interest.
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And a year from now, you are
going to pay me the principal
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plus the interest, so
you're going to pay me $2.
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Well, you're fairly desperate,
so you say, OK, Sal, that's OK.
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But seeing that this isn't the
lowest interest rate that
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you've ever seen-- I think the
federal funds rate is at
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something like 2.5 or 3%, so
clearly my 100% is what would
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make any loan shark proud.
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You figure, well, I want
to pay this thing off
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as soon as possible.
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So you say, Sal, what
happens if I have the
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money in six months?
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Well, I say, OK,
that's reasonable.
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For six months, since you're
only borrowing it for half as
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long, I tell you what:
You just have to pay me
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50% after six months.
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So this is after one year.
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After six months, I want you
to pay $1 principal plus 50%
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interest, plus 50 cents, right?
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That's 50%.
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And the logic being that if I'm
charging you 100%, I'm charging
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you $1 for you to keep the
money for the whole year, I'm
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only going to charge you
half as much to keep the
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money half the year.
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And so after six months,
I would expect you
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to pay me $1.50.
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This is after six months.
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And then you say, OK,
Sal, that sounds-- that
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makes sense so far.
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But let's just say that I want
to-- I intend to pay you back
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in six months, but just in case
I don't have the money in six
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months, will I still just
owe you $2 in a year?
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And I say no, no, no, no.
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That I can't deal with because
now I'm giving you the
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possibility of paying off
earlier, and if you pay this
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money earlier, then I have to
figure out where I'm going to--
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essentially who I'm going to
take advantage of next.
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While if I just lock in my
money with you, I can take
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advantage of you for
an entire year.
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So what I say is if you want
to-- what you're going to have
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to do is essentially reborrow
the money after six months
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for another six months.
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So instead of me paying you--
instead of me charging you 50
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cents for the next six months,
I'm going to charge you 50%
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for the next six months.
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So this is how you can view it.
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On day one, you
borrow $1 from me.
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In six months, you
pay $1.50, right?
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And we decided that 50 percent
was a fair interest rate
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for six months, right?
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So let's say that you really
do need the money for a year.
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So we will just charge
you another 50% for
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that next six months.
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Now that other 50% is
not going to be on your
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initial principal.
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Now, after six months,
you owe me $1.50.
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So I'm going to charge you-- so
now this is starting at the
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next period, you'd owe me
$1.50, and now I'm going to
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charge you 50% of that,
so that's 75 cents.
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So it's still a 50% interest
rate for the six months, but
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your principal has
increased, right?
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Because it was the old
principal plus the old
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interest, and that's how much
you owe me now, and now
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I'm going to charge the
interest rate on that.
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And so now that equals
$2.25 over a year.
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So you look at that, and you're
like, wow, you know, just to be
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able to essentially have this
option to pay earlier, I'm
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essentially on an annual rate.
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My annual rate looks a lot more
like 125% interest, right?
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Because my original principal--
your original principal was $1,
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and now you're paying $1.25
in interest, so you're
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paying 125% annual rate.
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So that looks pretty bad to
you, but you are, I guess, in a
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tough bind, so you agree to it.
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And I explained to you that
this is actually just
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a very common thing.
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Even though it looks suspicious
to you, it is called
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compounding interest.
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It means that after every
period-- if we say something
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compounds twice a year, after
every six months, we take the
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interest off of the new
amount that you owe me.
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You could pay me back what you
owe me at that point, or you
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could essentially reborrow it
at the same rate for
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another six months.
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So you say, OK, Sal, you're
overwhelming me a little
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bit, but I need the
money so I'll do it.
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But once again, you know,
on an annual basis,
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125% looks even worse.
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You know, 50% over six
months still isn't cheap.
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What if I have the
money in a month?
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What if I have the money in a
month, where I say, OK, here's
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the deal: same notion.
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Instead of charging you 100%
per year, I'm going to charge
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you-- so this is scenario
one, this is scenario two.
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I'm going to charge
you 1/12 of that.
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I'm going to charge you
100% divided by 12,
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and what is that?
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It's 12 goes into 100 eight
and a half times, right?
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Yeah, 8 times 12 is 96,
and then you get another
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half in there, right?
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So now I'll say, well, if you
want to pay me on any given
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month, I'll just charge
you 8.5% per month.
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And once again, though,
it's going to compound.
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So let's say you start with $1.
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After one month, you're going
to owe me that $1 plus 8.5%.
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So after one month,
you're going to owe
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me 1 plus 8.5% of 1.
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So plus 0.085, which
equals 1.085.
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And then after a month,
you're going to owe me
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this plus 8.5% of this.
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So it would be essentially
1.085 squared, and you can do
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the math to figure that out.
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And then after three months,
you'll owe me 1.085
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to the third.
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And after a full year, you'll
actually owe me 1.085 to the
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12th power, and let's
see what that is.
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I'm going to use my
little Excel here.
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Let's see, if I have
plus 1.085 to the 12th,
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you'll owe me $2.66.
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That equals $2.66.
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And you say, OK, that's
acceptable, reluctantly,
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because this is now what?
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166% effective interest rate.
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And just keep in mind, all
I'm doing is I'm compounding
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the interest, right?
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This was $1.085, and I think
that makes sense to you.
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And the reason why this is
squared is because this is
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going to-- this is just this
principal times 1.085 Another
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way to view it is this is the
same thing as-- I'm going to
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do it in a different color.
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It's equivalent to this
plus 0.085 times 1.085.
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So it's 1.085 plus
0.085 times 1.085.
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So if you think of this is 1
times 1.085 and this is 0.085
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times 1.085, then you can
distribute-- you can take out
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the 1.085, and you
would essentially get
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1.085 times 1.085.
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And it keeps going.
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So now, in this situation.
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we are compounding
the interest.
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We said it's essentially 100%
interest, but we're dividing
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it by 12 per month, but we're
compounding it 12 times.
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So, in general, what's
the formula if I want
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to compound it n times?
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So how much are you going
to have to pay me at
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the end of a year?
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Well, let's say you want to
compound-- let's say you
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want to pay every day.
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You want the ability to pay
every day, and I say that's OK,
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so each day, per day, I'll
charge you 100%, which was my
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original annual rate, divided
by 365 days in a year, but I'm
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going to compound it every day.
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So after every day,
you're going to owe 1.--
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what is this number?
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Let's see, that number is 100
divided by 365-- whoops, plus
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100 divided by 365,
so that's 0.27%.
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After every day, you're
going to owe me this much
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times the previous day.
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So after 365 days, you're
going to owe me this
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to the 365th power.
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So, in general-- oh, I just
realized I ran out of time
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so I will continue this
in the next video.
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See you soon.
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