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This is maybe the most important thing
to know about living right now in the
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21st century...
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That we are now hackable animals.
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We have the technology to
decipher how humans are.
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What you think, what you want.
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To predict human choices to manipulate
human desires in ways which were
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never possible before.
Basically to hack a human being,
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you need two things.
You need a lot of data,
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especially biometric data, not just
about where you go and what you buy,
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but what is happening inside your body
and inside your brain. And secondly,
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you need a lot of computing power
to make sense of all that data.
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Now, previously in history,
this was never possible.
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Nobody had enough data and
enough computing power to
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hack human beings.
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Even if the KGB or the
Gestapo followed you around 24
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hours a day, eavesdropping on
every conversation you had.
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watching everybody you meet. still,
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they did not have the biological
knowledge to really understand what's
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happening inside you.
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And they certainly didn't have
the computing power necessary to
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make sense even of the data
they were able to collect.
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So the KGB could not
really understand you.
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Could not really predict all your
choices or manipulate all your
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desires and so forth. But now it's
changing what the KGB couldn't do,
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Corporations
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and governments today are
beginning to be able to do.
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And this is because of the merger
of the revolution in biotech.
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We are getting better in understanding
what's happening inside us
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in the body and the brain. And at the
same time, the revolution in Infotech,
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which gives us the computing power
necessary. When you put the two together,
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when Infotech merges with biotech,
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what you get is the ability
to create algorithms
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that understand me better
than I understand myself.
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And then these algorithms can
not just predict my choices,
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but also manipulate my desires
and basically sell me anything.
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Whether it's a product or a politician.
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One of the things many people don't
realize about the AI revolution and the
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automation revolution...
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they imagine it as some
kind of one time event.
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We have the big AI revolution in 2025.
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You have all these truck drivers and
taxi drivers and doctors and whatever,
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losing their jobs. You have a few
difficult years of adjustment.
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And then eventually you have
the brave new world of AI,
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with a new equilibrium.
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And this is an extremely unlikely
scenario because we are nowhere near
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the maximum potential of AI.
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The speed in which it develops
is only likely to accelerate.
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So what we are really going
to face is a cascade of ever
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bigger revolutions. in the job market
and in many other areas of life,
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relationships, politics, and so forth.
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So you have a big disruption in 2025.
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You have an even bigger
disruption in 2035.
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An even bigger one in 2045 and so forth.
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And if you look say at the job market.
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So, okay, you were a truck driver
and they no longer need you,
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but there is new demand for yoga teachers.
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So you somehow reinvent
yourself at age 40.
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I'm no longer a truck driver now I'm
a yoga teacher. It's very difficult.
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You somehow do it. 10 years
later, no need of yoga teachers.
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Thank you very much.
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We now have these amazing applications
connected with biometric sensors
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to your body.
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They know exactly what you're
doing with every tiny muscle.
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as you do this posture or that posture.
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No human yoga teacher can compete
with that. You're out of job.
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You have to reinvent yourself again
as a designer of virtual world games
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and you do it somehow. But 10 years later,
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you have to do it again because
this too has now been automated.
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And even if you get support from
the government and there is all this
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education for adults in the system.
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The really big question is,
again, it's psychological.
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Do we as human beings have the
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mental stability.
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And the emotional intelligence necessary.
to reinvent ourselves repeatedly.
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And you know, when you're 20,
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what you're doing is basically to reinvent
yourself or to invent yourself for
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the first time. And it is very
difficult. When you're 30,
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it's even more difficult,
but you somehow do it.
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But when you get to be 40, 50, 60,
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it becomes more and more difficult.
You have more to let go of,
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I've invested so much
in building this career,
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this personality, these skills.
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To give it all up and start again
from anew it's so difficult.
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So I don't know whether we can do it.