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Trump, Ukraine and the Myth of a Democratic EU | Jorge Tamames Interview

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    [Tiare] Hello and welcome
    to the channel of DiEM25.
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    Today we are joined by Jorge Tamames.
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    He has a PhD from University College
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    Dublin and currently teaches European
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    Political Economy at the University
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    Carlos III of Madrid.
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    Jorge, thank you so much
    for joining us today.
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    How are you doing?
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    [Jorge] My pleasure.
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    Thanks for having me.
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    All is good here.
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    Rainy day in Madrid.
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    Rainy month, actually.
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    [Tiare] Yeah, we're both
    from Madrid, actually,
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    so we've had two madrileños in a row.
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    I want to start talking about the joint
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    press conference with President Volodymyr
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    Zelenskyy and President Donald Trump that
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    we recently saw because what we want to
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    touch upon today mainly is the
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    geopolitical tensions that are currently
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    happening, especially within Europe and
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    in relation to Ukraine.
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    And obviously we need to talk about this
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    joint press conference.
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    This event saw the Ukrainian and American
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    leaders confront each other in a blow-up
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    that ushers in a new phase of the
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    war in Ukraine, one under a Trump
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    presidency.
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    And I was wondering, what do you make
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    of the apparent antagonism between the
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    two leaders?
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    [Jorge] Well, the first thing
    that I'll say is
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    that I had to watch the clip several
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    times and this is not something that I
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    usually do.
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    My background is
    in foreign affairs.
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    I studied international relations.
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    I worked at a foreign policy journal in
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    a think tank for a while,
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    so this is sort of my
    bread and butter.
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    And I had never seen an exchange on
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    that level.
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    Just the humiliation of a guest who is
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    also a head of state in the White House
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    in front of the press, with the
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    press participating in it.
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    I was shocked and I am not usually
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    one to be sort of shocked.
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    Trump has always generated this sort of
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    sometimes a bit prudish reaction
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    regarding: oh, he doesn't respect norms.
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    He doesn't respect due process.
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    He's like this vulgar guy.
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    And I usually don't have much patience
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    for that, but I was surprised.
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    I think on a formal level, it was
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    just something very different to watch.
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    And I think, I guess it goes to
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    the differences between his first
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    administration and the second one.
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    This is the kind of thing
    you would have not
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    seen in the first
    Trump White House
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    because at the end of the day,
    he had to rely on a lot of
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    people who were not Trump world
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    characters like he has
    around him now, right?
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    These were more standard
    Republican operators.
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    Rex Tillerson, the guy who first ran his
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    department of state, was a guy who came
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    from the big oil industry.
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    So the more standard profiles you
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    would see in a normal
    Republican administration.
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    So in a way, I had this feeling
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    that this was new ground.
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    This entire concern
    with Trump in the way
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    that he doesn't respect the
    way things are usually done
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    and so forth,
    I found myself
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    taking it a bit more seriously in
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    the last two months
    than I did in the past.
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    Now, the question,
    what do I think
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    it represented in terms
    of the substance?
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    I'm not sure to what extent
    this style is going to work
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    for this administration
    or not.
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    And what I mean by that is
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    I think it was very counterproductive
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    in terms of, Trump has been
    extraordinarily successful in
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    galvanising the EU to sort of become
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    independent or become more autonomous
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    from the U.S. with events
    like this one
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    or like J.D. Vance's visit in
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    the Munich Security Conference,
    right.
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    And this is something that was not on
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    the menu two months ago.
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    So the future German Chancellor Merz,
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    when he was running
    for office,
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    his whole deal was:
    Oh no, we're going to get
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    along pretty well with Trump.
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    We'll be able to reach some deals.
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    He's not our favourite guy,
    but we can
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    actually live with this guy.
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    We'll be pragmatic.
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    And on election night, he said:
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    My first concern is to become
    independent from the US.
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    So I think this has been
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    the first effect of this
    change in forms
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    rather than substance,
    because in terms
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    of the substance, this is
    the stuff he ran on.
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    Well, the UK stuff,
    not other stuff that
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    he's actually pushing
    and we can talk about it.
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    But yeah, that's my reading of
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    the whole scene.
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    At first I was shocked.
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    And then looking at the reaction
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    I think, maybe they're
    not reading the room correctly.
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    I don't mean the room of the
    meeting in which it took place,
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    but the broader room of
    the way Europeans are
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    going to react,
    public opinion in Ukraine
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    might shift or not.
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    Ultimately whether Russia
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    will actually pick up on the deal
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    that is being offered to
    them at this point.
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    [Tiare] Right, just to check your
    thoughts on another
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    important point related to this newly
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    Trump administration era
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    the United States and Ukraine
    plan to sign a minerals deal,
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    which has seen much controversy.
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    According to the deal, Ukraine will
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    contribute 50% of future proceeds
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    from state owned mineral resources,
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    oil and gas to an investment fund,
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    which will then invest
    to promote the safety,
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    security and prosperity of Ukraine.
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    This deal appears to imply that private
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    companies will need
    to get involved in
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    the mining process within the vague
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    information that we have been receiving
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    about this deal.
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    Do you believe, given what we know
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    do you believe it can
    be perceived as simply
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    laying bare the
    American interest in
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    exploiting Ukrainian
    natural resources
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    for the benefit of the
    American capitalist class?
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    Is there anything in this for
    working class Americans?
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    [Jorge] OK, so let's start
    with the last part.
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    Is there something in this for working
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    class Americans?
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    I'd say no.
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    On the face of it, there
    doesn't seem to be much.
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    I can have some sympathy
    for the people
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    who voted for the first
    Trump term, right,
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    with a working class background,
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    expecting to get sort of a better deal
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    than what was being offered
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    by Hillary Clinton in 2017.
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    But at this point,
    I think with Trump,
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    you sort of know what you're
    getting to an extent.
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    I'll qualify that a bit further on.
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    But in terms of what is the
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    American working class
    getting out of this deal
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    I don't know if this deal
    is viable at all.
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    So sometimes it's
    hard to take these
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    announcements on their face.
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    And usually they create outrage
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    of course, because it
    looks like a shakeup
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    and it seems to be a shakeup in
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    exchange for some very
    dubious security guarantees.
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    Now, I'm not an expert in rare earth
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    or their processing
    or critical minerals.
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    So take this with a grain of salt,
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    pun unintended.
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    But from what I've read,
    it seems like
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    a lot of these rare earths
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    come from old maps
    from back in the
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    Soviet Union in the
    70s and 80s.
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    It's not sure whether
    they can be mined
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    or they're economically
    viable as of today.
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    A lot of the places that have to
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    be mined are where the fighting
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    is taking place.
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    So none of that was
    a problem because
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    you even managed
    to get a peace deal.
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    So then presumably
    you'd get American
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    companies that go there and
    invest in the mining process, right?
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    Mining is an economic sector that
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    requires a lot of
    capital investment,
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    long time horizons
    before you can get
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    credit on your investment
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    and a very stable, judicial
    and regulatory framework.
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    These are not things
    you're going to
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    be getting right now
    in the Donbass region
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    of Ukraine or even in Ukraine
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    or the full Russian occupied areas.
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    So I don't see how this deal amounts
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    to much other than
    something that
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    Trump can announce
    and feel happy about.
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    I think here the
    experience of his
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    first term in office
    is instructive.
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    We saw a lot of this during
    the first Trump term.
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    So that's my general
    read on the deal.
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    So then it seems like it
    doesn't make much sense.
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    But one of the
    interpretations I've heard
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    was that rather than coming
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    from the White House,
    it was something
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    that the Ukrainians and Zelensky
    pitched to Donald Trump.
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    Again, if that is the case,
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    that seems to me a
    sort of genius move
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    to present him with
    a deal that he likes
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    and that is going to create some
    shock and some support,
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    but there's very little
    workable substance behind it.
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    But ultimately,
    we'll have to wait and see.
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    But I don't think this deal as
    of now leading anywhere.
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    [Tiare] Yeah,
    I don't know.
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    I just personally felt like this was
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    just something, it's like:
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    Well, we should have known
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    if the U.S. is after anything or the EU.
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    Now we're going to get to that.
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    But if after anything would end up
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    be exploiting natural resources.
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    I think if we look at the history of
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    the wars, especially that the U.S
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    has enjoyed joining and pushing for.
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    I mean, I don't know.
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    I just I was quite
    shocked that anyone
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    would be shocked at the U.S.
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    pursuing that kind of interest.
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    [Jorge] I was also
    shocked because this
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    was nowhere on the cards
    during the campaign. right?
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    [Tiare] Yeah.
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    [Jorge] Unless I'm much mistaken.
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    I don't remember hearing about this at
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    all throughout the past year.
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    Maybe I'm wrong, but I'm getting the
    sense and this is something
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    I think is worth keeping in mind
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    because the pace
    of announcements from
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    this administration in
    the first month and a half
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    has been so overwhelming.
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    Sometimes it's just
    almost unavoidable
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    that you feel sort of demoralised
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    and overwhelmed and you don't even
    have a grip on what is happening.
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    I think at points like that,
    it's worth keeping in mind
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    these guys won an election
    for a variety of reasons
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    But an important one
    was that there was
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    a critical mass of
    Americans who thought
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    that prices were too high
    and eggs were too expensive.
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    So, you can say these were
    like 'economic anxiety' voters.
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    who voted because they
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    thought they were getting
    a lousy deal with Biden.
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    And the Trump campaign did make a lot
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    of emphasis on prices being
    too high throughout the campaign.
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    So those people voted
    with that in their mind.
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    And what they got is a minerals deal
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    invading the Panama Canal.
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    Canada should be the 51st state
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    and we should also own
    Greenland.
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    I don't see how that is working very
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    well for your working class
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    economic anxiety Trump voter
    in the long term.
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    I don't think it's working for
    the stock market either.
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    Your traditional Republican
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    who's just hoping
    to get a good return
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    on his investments from
    the Trump presidency
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    like happened last time
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    when the stock market
    was booming.
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    So I don't want to
    be too mechanistic and say:
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    Oh, the economy doesn't work
    so he'll run into trouble.
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    But it's worth keeping in
    mind that we're getting
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    announcements of
    different deals every day,
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    but he's not delivering on the
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    basic deal that won
    the election for him.
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    Honestly, like I don't think a Trump
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    presidency works for anyone,
    obviously
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    not the working class,
    but also the vast
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    parts of the capitalist class.
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    I don't think or especially the
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    professional managerial class.
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    I don't think they're
    excited to have him.
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    Hence Trump derangement
    syndrome.
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    Like I believe that is
    absolutely a thing.
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    I wanted to ask you at the beginning
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    of this month of March,
    Trump halted
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    military aid to Ukraine,
    a cut that then
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    expanded to include
    all military intelligence
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    while acknowledging Russia's
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    guilt in illegally invading
    a sovereign country..
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    We will probably agree that finding
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    a diplomatic solution that seeks to
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    de-escalate the military
    conflict should be prioritised.
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    Do you believe these steps taken by
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    President Trump bear any
    positive aspects at all
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    or are they counterproductive
    to the sense?
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    Well, I'm going to give you my easy
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    answer, sort of a cop out.
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    But I do think it's too soon to tell
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    tell, because we don't know if this deal
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    at this stage, this compromise
    has buy in from the Russians.
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    What we know is that the Ukrainian side
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    has sort of been strong armed
    to the negotiating table.
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    Now, I think if you look at this war
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    none of the sides were going to
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    get what they wanted originally.
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    So Russia wanted to topple the entirety
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    of the Ukrainian government,
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    to march to Kiev, to install
    a puppet regime,
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    and to annex the four regions
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    that it proclaimed
    are part of new Russia.
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    This is a term they used
    to refer to them.
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    And then on the Ukrainian
    side, at one point
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    there was even talk of launching
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    an offensive and being able to retake Crimea.
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    This was really always,
    always a far-fetched idea.
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    So neither side got what it
    originally wanted from this war.
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    And so sooner or later,
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    you're going to have
    a negotiation, right?
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    Now, the question is,
    what does that
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    negotiation actually look like?
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    If you had a peace settlement now,
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    where Ukraine was forced to
    make a lot of concessions
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    and really, the underlying
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    issue was never resolved
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    and there's hostility
    between Ukraine and Russia,
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    you'd basically have a rerun of the
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    Minsk 1 and 2 accords after 2014, right?
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    So I think you could envision a scenario
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    in which you say:
    Oh, well, you know,
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    you reach some sort
    of deal that at this point,
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    t,it seems like will please the
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    Russian side much more so than the
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    Ukrainian one.
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    Although it is worth keeping in mind two
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    things, one that like, you know, a couple
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    months ago, if you looked at polling,
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    public opinion polling in Ukraine, there
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    was a plurality or a slim majority of
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    people who said, yeah, we want a deal,
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    we hope we can get on with Trump.
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    That has changed slightly, I think,
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    because of the systematic humiliations
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    that Trump has visited upon, you know,
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    Ukraine's leadership and Ukrainians in
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    general.
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    And I think now that their resolve is
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    sort of hardening.
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    So again, that's another example of this
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    administration being very
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    counterproductive.
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    But if you assume that there's like, you
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    know, the space for making a deal, fine.
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    I think, you know, the question is, what
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    happens the day after that?
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    If we have the precedent of 2014 leading
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    to 2022, then how do you avoid having
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    a deal reached today leading to another
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    conflict five years down the line or
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    seven years down the line?
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    Right.
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    So I think that's the big question that
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    we really should be thinking about what's
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    going to happen after that deal.
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    Right.
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    And, you know, I do want to ask
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    you about what you think would be the
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    best case scenario, the best solution, if
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    you will.
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    But first, I want to also discuss the
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    European side of this.
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    So this month has also seen Ursula von
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    der Leyen unveil a plan to rearm Europe,
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    announcing we are in an era of
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    rearmament.
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    This includes defence investment loans to
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    member states, use of the EU budget to
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    direct more funds towards defence related
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    investments and deploying private
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    capital.
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    How do you regard this initiative?
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    Um, okay, I'll say a couple of things
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    about it that I think are good, because
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    then I have several misgivings that I
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    want to explore it at night.
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    I think to some extent, it is better
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    than the alternative of what Trump was
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    proposing, right, which was that each
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    European state raise defence spending to
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    5% of GDP.
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    And it's good in that it takes the
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    EU as the political subject that needs to
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    make these decisions.
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    So it's not NATO, which at this point
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    is, I think, you know, becoming more and
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    more dysfunctional with each passing day,
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    right?
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    So it's the EU that needs to take
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    its own defence seriously and become
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    autonomous at a time when it's being
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    threatened by both Trump and Putin,
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    right?
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    So that's what I think is good about
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    the deal.
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    And the fact that is like, you know,
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    the approach is sort of ambition when you
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    look at, well, not exactly the scale of
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    billions that is mobilised, because here
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    there's always a bit of creative
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    accounting that we're used to see from
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    Brussels, right?
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    So I think if you compare it to
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    next generation EU, it's lacking in that
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    respect.
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    But when you when you take into
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    consideration the fact that it's
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    happening at the same time as Germany,
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    for example, reforms its debt rate,
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    right, the constitutional amendment, and,
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    you know, makes it more flexible, that
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    just happened today, then you get a sense
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    that there's sort of ambition to match
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    what otherwise would be just like lofty
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    declarations.
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    So what I think is more problematic about
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    it is that it basically thinks about
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    European defence.
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    And what they do is like you start
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    with what you have, and you work towards
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    the number, right?
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    This is the way that all these
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    discussions unfold.
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    So what do you have is like, European
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    defence, when you look at overall
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    spending numbers, it's not actually a
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    small number, you know, we're used to
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    thinking that Europe doesn't spend, that
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    the EU doesn't spend enough on defence.
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    And when you look at the aggregate
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    numbers, depending on the metrics you
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    use, but we do spend several times more
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    than Russia does.
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    And if you also take the UK into
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    consideration, right, sort of these like,
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    like minded allies, then you have almost
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    twice the defence budget of China.
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    So that's not an insignificant number by
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    any means.
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    The problem is, and you know, this is
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    sort of well known by now that it's
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    extraordinarily inefficient, because it's
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    fragmented and sort of 27 different
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    armies.
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    And so you don't generate economies of
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    scale, you don't generate the sort of
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    investment you would need to have a
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    competitive defence industry that spans
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    the entire union and so forth.
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    So the problem that I see is what
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    this programme does is mainly it focusses on
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    national defence budgets and says, yeah,
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    you can raise them, we expect to get
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    650, I think it's 600, 650 billion euros
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    out of that.
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    And we will loosen the fiscal rules so
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    that this doesn't immediately fall into
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    the excessive deficit procedure, right,
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    for countries like Spain, for example, or
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    for most European countries who have to
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    undergo this investment.
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    Now, how long would that last for?
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    Is that the way to like build a
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    European defence capability?
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    I'm very sceptical of it, right?
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    The way I would go about it is
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    slightly different.
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    I would think like, okay, so we're in
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    one of those rare moments of crisis in
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    the EU right now, similar to the COVID
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    crisis, where the more ambitious
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    solutions are also the more pragmatic,
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    right?
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    Usually it's the opposite, right?
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    It's like, oh, you know, we're asking for
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    a pie in the sky.
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    So I think you should start with like
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    the most ambitious proposal you can
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    consider and then work with that towards,
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    you know, landing that on like the
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    framework that you can work with.
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    And so what would that look like?
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    I think it would entail acknowledging
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    that yes, there is a security threat,
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    even if the Ukraine situation is solved
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    immediately, right?
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    You need to have the deterrence
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    capability to avoid a scenario like 2014
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    to 2022, like what we were talking about
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    before.
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    But then it should be the EU that
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    provides that, not NATO.
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    You should not rely on the United States.
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    The United States is not an ally in
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    any sense of the word anymore.
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    So you need to do this on your
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    own.
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    And you also need to define security very
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    broadly, I think, for this to work.
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    So yes, a part of it has to
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    do with like defence, right?
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    And what we were just talking about.
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    And this is what usually all the
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    conversation focusses on.
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    And that's part of the deal.
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    But there's other stuff that the EU needs
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    to do to actually establish a security
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    worthy of that name.
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    So at least three other areas besides
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    defence.
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    One would be climate security.
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    You know, you need to become energy
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    independent, not just from Russia and oil
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    and gas, but from the United States or
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    the Gulf states.
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    And that involves being very ambitious
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    with the ongoing green transition.
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    So you need to double down on that,
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    not cut your resources to focus
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    exclusively on defence.
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    If you adopt a broad conception of
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    security, that is also something that you
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    need to take into consideration.
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    You can't just leave it in the back
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    burner and expect things to get better in
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    the future.
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    You also need to think of economic
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    security, right?
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    In terms of having a financial
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    architecture that does not depend on the
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    dollar system or US payment platforms,
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    right?
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    That involves anything from having a more
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    internationalised euro to having a
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    digital euro as a tool for payments,
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    right?
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    Like you can get really down to the
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    weeds of like the policies that you need
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    for this.
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    But there's a big plank that has to
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    do with your economic model, the fiscal
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    rules that are extremely outdated, even
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    after this programme, right?
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    They should be completely overhauled if
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    you really want to meet the challenge
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    that you face right now.
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    Fourth area, and final one, would be sort
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    of security from a social standpoint.
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    If you do all these things and at
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    the same time you have to do austerity
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    because you have to balance a budget,
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    then that sort of defeats the purpose of
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    any of this.
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    Especially keeping in mind that we sort
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    of know by now and there's considerable
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    evidence that doing austerity, doing
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    budgetary cuts, trimming down the welfare
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    state, actually empowers the very friends
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    of Trump and Putin that are already
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    reasonably strong in a lot of European
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    states.
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    So if you want to stop the far
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    right, and if there's anything in the EU
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    that is worth fighting for, it's probably
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    a socioeconomic model that, you know,
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    provides social security in the form of
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    the welfare state, public health care,
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    public education, pensions, you name it.
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    So that has to be like a big
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    part of it.
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    And so you get these four things and
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    then you think, okay, how are we going
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    to pay for them?
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    And then I think, you know, a mixture
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    of having more mutualised European debt,
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    like next generation, and having its own,
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    you know, fiscal capacity in terms of, I
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    don't know, I would consider not just
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    punishing Russian oligarchs, but taxing
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    the activity of American tech oligarchs
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    for the EU to generate its own resources.
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    And there are ways to do that, right?
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    And you can talk about Russian stranded
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    assets and a number of other sources of
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    revenue that you can tax.
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    So you'd have to be much more broad
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    in your conception of security and not
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    just focus on the defence industry and
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    defence spending from a national
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    perspective.
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    Because ultimately, I mean, I hope this
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    doesn't happen.
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    And there's still ongoing discussion.
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    But if this ends up being an excuse
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    for member states to spend more money
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    without clear strategic goals, and that
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    ends up being, well, I don't know, buying
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    American equipment, and increasing a
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    security dependence that is already
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    there, then you've doubled down on a
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    problem, right?
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    So, you know, I think there's some good
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    elements to it.
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    But I think it could be much improved
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    and still needs a broader definition of
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    security and much more fiscal ambition.
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    So basically, are you saying you think it
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    would be preferable for member states to
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    make less of a decision here and for
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    the EU to have a more sort of
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    coordinated plan?
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    And I'm just wondering, do you think the
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    European Union, and I'm not talking
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    Europe, I'm talking the European Union,
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    would ever take that non-aligned
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    perspective?
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    Do you think that's plausible?
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    Don't you feel like maybe European
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    nations themselves would be more likely
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    to, if they were democratic enough to not
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    be sort of that constrained by the
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    European Union, like, don't you feel like
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    they would try to be non-aligned?
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    Obviously, I'm kind of generalising here.
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    But I don't know, I'm just wondering, do
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    you have hopes in the EU?
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    Or do you have hopes in Europe?
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    And yeah, what do you think is more
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    likely like for the EU to actually take
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    a non-aligned stance or for European
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    countries?
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    Because I don't know, I just struggle to
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    believe that the EU would ever do that.
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    So I kind of have the opposite reaction
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    in that I would have more hope in
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    European nations individually kind of
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    taking that sort of stance and kind of
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    making the right investments, or Europe
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    as a sort of region rather than the
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    EU specifically.
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    But let me know your thoughts about this.
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    So I think there's one thing that is
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    like, okay, should the EU pull its
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    capacities together?
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    That's one thing, right?
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    And have like a more federated approach
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    to these threats that it faces now, and
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    these challenges in the form of Russia,
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    of the United States, of, you know,
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    having to develop its own autonomy.
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    And then the other question is like about
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    Europe's alignment, right?
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    These are like, I'm kind of going to
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    try and parse them out because I think
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    they're slightly distinct.
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    So the question, the way this is always
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    posed is this question of, oh, should you
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    have a European army, right?
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    And usually this is sort of like
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    something that doesn't get discussed a
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    lot beyond the theoretical level, right?
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    Because there are like many operational
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    and political hurdles along the way, but
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    mostly it's a question of political will,
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    right?
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    That European states are reticent to
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    share that degree of sovereignty.
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    Now, I just think if you really are
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    serious about having deterrence
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    capability against Russia, which I think
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    is very different from sort of getting
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    involved in warmongering, right?
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    After all, like Russia is the country
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    that has the largest nuclear stockpile in
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    the world.
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    So I think anyone who was actively
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    engaging in pushing them towards a war
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    would be an idiot to do so.
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    But I do think you need to develop
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    deterrent capability.
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    It makes much more sense to do that
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    on an EU level than for each European
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    state on its own.
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    Unless you're willing to sustain, I don't
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    know, five, six percent of the GDP of
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    every European state spent, or in my
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    view, wasted on defence, right?
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    So it's an idea, I mean, whose time
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    has come in the sense that it's the
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    easiest way out of this problem.
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    Now, then the question, of course, is
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    like, what does a more united EU in
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    the realms of foreign policy and defence
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    policy stand for in the world, right?
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    That question of like, oh, can Europe be
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    non-aligned?
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    I would say Europe today is sort of
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    disaligned, right?
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    Because correct me if I'm wrong, but the
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    way you would have posed this question
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    two months ago is that the EU is
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    overly aligned with the United States and
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    just following the United States
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    initiative.
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    Overnight, that has changed very
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    dramatically.
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    And so the EU already de facto finds
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    itself in a place where it's having to
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    come up with its own autonomous posture
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    in regards, for example, to what happened
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    in Ukraine, right?
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    Now, that position is the one it was
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    holding before the United States changed
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    gears.
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    But I think it's an interesting process.
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    Now, I will say about that, that hasn't
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    come to fruition because European leaders
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    suddenly took that decision.
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    It's because Trump snubbed them and then
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    humiliated a few of them and has done
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    everything within his power to make that
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    outcome possible.
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    So I would think the challenge is not
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    for the EU to strike its own path
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    away from Trump now.
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    The question is maintaining this after
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    Trump is gone.
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    And I'm sort of looking too far into
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    the future.
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    But if you think of, you know, what
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    happened during the Biden presidency, or
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    even if you want to go further back
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    in time after the Iraq war, when there
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    was also talk of the need of becoming
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    more detached in foreign policy positions
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    from the United States, what do you see
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    is that when the good times come back,
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    and that usually means when there's a
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    Democrat in the White House, Europeans
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    become complacent.
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    So this is an effort that you really
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    need to sustain in time.
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    Now, finally, and this is the hardest
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    question to which I don't have an answer
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    other than to say that the EU is,
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    in spite of like making progress on all
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    these areas, and I think a lot of
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    this is actually interesting and
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    worthwhile, but it has some huge flaws in
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    regards to how it aligns in the world,
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    right?
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    Just consider the now ongoing genocide in
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    Gaza, right?
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    We learned today that Israel resumed
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    operations and killed between three and
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    400 Palestinians in one night.
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    And the EU has been shamefully muted on
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    this issue, except for a few voices,
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    right?
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    And for the most part, has acquiesced to
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    what is basically a genocide on its
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    doorstep.
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    So I think striking a sort of, you
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    know, assertive position in defence of
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    Ukraine's right to defend itself from
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    annihilation, in the face of an
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    imperialist neighbour, it's all very well
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    and good.
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    Like, I'm all for that position.
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    I just think there should be coherence.
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    It should also be held in Gaza, right?
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    Like, you know, the EU should be much
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    firmer in its condemnation of Israel.
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    So that's one thing where its present
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    disposition, its present alignment is
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    very much lacking and very disappointing.
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    The same is true of migration policy,
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    right?
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    I mean, we like to act scandalised at
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    the policies that the Trump
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    administration applies, but they're not
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    that different.
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    And in fact, many of them are directly
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    inspired in what we do in our own
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    borders.
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    So, you know, I do think the EU
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    is taking several steps to become more
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    autonomous from the US.
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    I am sceptical that the way it is
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    doing so is the best, the most useful,
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    and that it's not, that it doesn't have
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    several aspects of it that can be
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    counterproductive.
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    But I realise that there are some areas
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    where the state of affairs right now is
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    pretty awful.
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    It certainly is.
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    And I want to dive a little deeper
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    into this topic of non-alignment.
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    I think the EU, yes, it's not complacent
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    to the Trump presidency.
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    But I mean, I think it still is
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    to the sort of what they understand as
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    the default US, right, which is Democrats
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    or, you know, never Trump Republicans and
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    a politics of the sort.
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    And meanwhile, at DiEM25, we aim for a
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    non-aligned, which doesn't mean neutral
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    Europe.
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    Do you believe this is currently a
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    possibility?
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    And how do you believe it would impact
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    the potential for more democratic
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    European nations if we move in this
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    direction?
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    Yeah, I mean, I think it's tied to
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    what I was saying before.
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    But so let me reframe it in a
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    more accurate way.
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    I think the EU, again, not by its
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    own merits, but because of the effects of
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    what Trump has done in two months, has
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    become sort of disaligned from the US,
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    right?
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    And I am a bit, yeah, I will
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    say I am hopeful that this is not
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    just a passing sort of fleeting sentiment
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    of like, oh, you know, Trump is horrible.
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    Then we'll go back to business.
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    I want to think that there is a
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    learning process going on, especially in
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    the way that we had, you know, Biden
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    between these two Trump terms.
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    I mean, the way that events have unfolded
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    would mean that Europeans would be, you
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    know, profoundly obtuse not to continue
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    investing in becoming independent from
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    the United States after Trump is gone.
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    And who knows what will happen in four
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    years.
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    So on that regard, I'm, let's say, mildly
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    hopeful, or at least I've been surprised
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    by the degree of result I've seen from
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    key European figures.
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    So I would not have expected to see
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    a centre-right German politician say, my
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    first concern is becoming independent
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    from the United States, right?
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    I have to acknowledge that if I would
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    have been told, will you see this in
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    the next year, a couple months ago, I'd
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    have said, no, absolutely not.
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    You know, I think Europeans will try and
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    paper over their differences with Trump,
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    but fundamentally not change or, you
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    know, within.
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    So in that regard, yeah, but another, but
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    as I was saying before, if you look
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    at other issues, so if you look at
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    the Palestinian question, right, if you
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    look at migration policy, these are areas
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    that where there's no change and where
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    the current alignment or the current, you
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    know, posture to the extent that you has
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    a coherent posture, or the sum of the
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    different member states postures is
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    awful.
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    Now, there are a couple other instances,
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    which are a bit more, I guess, we
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    still need to wait and see what happens.
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    But so, for example, I would say, I'm
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    interested to see what happens within
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    relations with China.
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    I think if you want to become autonomous
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    from the US and, you know, secure from
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    Russia, and at the same time, you take
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    fighting climate change seriously, you
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    cannot afford to follow the US into a
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    confrontation with China into the Indo
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    -Pacific.
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    You just can't.
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    You need to find a better way to
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    engage with China, right?
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    So the EU famously has this plan, or
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    this platform where it views China as a
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    sort of, let me see if I get
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    this correctly, as the ones, it is a
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    partner, it is a competitor, and it is
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    a rival, and different, and depending on
  • Not Synced
    what policies you look at.
Title:
Trump, Ukraine and the Myth of a Democratic EU | Jorge Tamames Interview
Description:

more » « less
Video Language:
English, British
Duration:
47:55

English, British subtitles

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