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Trump’s rumble with Zelensky is
still sending shockwaves around the world
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. If Ukraine falls, is Taiwan next?
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Welcome to China Uncensored. I’m Chris Chappell.
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Trump’s meeting with Zelenskyy sure
sent shockwaves around the world.
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But before I get into that, real quick—
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thank you to the more than 5,000 of
you who have signed this petition so far
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—telling Apple not to block
our China Uncensored mobile app!
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As I said in previous episodes, we submitted our
China Uncensored iOS app to Apple on January 24.
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We’re supposed to hear back with approval,
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or rejection if they want us to make changes,
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within about 5 business days
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. It’s now been 40
days. No word from Apple.
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And a lot of people are concerned that Apple is soft-censoring us
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by
trying to simply ignore our application forever.
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The last time Apple censored us was in 2017,
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when they blocked the China Uncensored
TV app from Taiwan and Hong Kong.
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We launched a petition and got nearly
10,000 signatures, and some media attention,
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and then Apple suddenly unblocked our
app—mysteriously and without any comment as to why.
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Surely it was some kind of
technical error, and not some intentional
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act of censorship related to their billions
of dollars a year of revenue from China.
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Well, probably it’s the same thing now.
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Which is why it’s so important that you sign this
petition—and get us to 10,000 signatures.
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I’ll put a link to the petition below.
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Now back to the episode.
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Trump is making Taiwan more vulnerable.
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That’s according to the Council on Foreign Relations
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, and they’re not
the only ones who are worried,
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Especially after the ahem friendly debate
between Trump and Zelenskyy last week…
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And Trump’s decision to pause US
military aid to Ukraine in response.
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According to NBC, the Trump-Zelenskyy
clash marks a defining turn away
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from America’s defense of democracies…
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And, according to the Carnegie Endowment,
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a U.S. retreat from democracy.
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In truth, it’s a win for
China, western officials say.
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And it’s turning the world upside
down into “a dark, fretful,
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more dangerous place where treaties and laws
are no longer respected, alliances are broken,
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trust is fungible, principles are
negotiable and morality is a dirty word.”
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Thanks for the darkly poetic
quote, ghost of Hunter S. Thompson.
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To many, Trump has full on
betrayed Ukraine.
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Even though we don’t actually know what his peace plan is yet.
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And now people are wondering if
Trump will betray Taiwan next.
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According to the New York Times,, Taiwan
is watching as Trump undercuts Ukraine,
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hoping it won’t be next.
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The Guardian says Taiwan is
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holding its breath as Trump turns on Ukraine
and upends US foreign policy.
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AP says Trump’s abrupt change of US policy on Ukraine
raises questions about Taiwan support.
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Obviously! Let’s all just forget about
the fact that, a couple of weeks ago,
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China was fuming at Trump for a Taiwan-friendly
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change of wording on the
State Department’s website.
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No, Taiwan is in trouble.
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That’s why the term “Today Ukraine, Tomorrow
Taiwan” started trending in Taiwanese media.
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According to DW, Trump’s
signals to Europe prove
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the US is no longer committed to protecting Taiwan.
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This is a fear you see all over social media.
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Will the US abandon Taiwan?
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Or force it into a deal with the devil?
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Is Japan next?
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Will it be forced to say sayonara
to Okinawa and the Senkaku Islands for China?
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Or what about South Korea?
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Has the US become the bad guys now?
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Will Trump tell the Avengers to stand
down and let the Chitauri take New York?
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These are questions lots of people are asking now,
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and it’s leading to some interesting conclusions.
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Some, like former Taiwanese lawmaker Wang
Yi-shiung ,
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argue that Taiwan should try harder to balance relations between China and
the US
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to avoid being "sold out" by Trump.
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Because tipping the scales towards a
country that wants to invade you has
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always worked out well for Taiwan.
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Especially
if you own stock in a bomb shelter factory.
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European leaders certainly took the opportunity to
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grandstand their credentials
as defenders of democracy.
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French President Macron asked how Trump can be
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credible in the face of China if
he’s weak in the face of Putin.
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Other leaders claimed Trump
is “no longer an ally”.
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And that it’s up to Europeans to
show leadership of the free world.
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Hahaha.
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Europe’s “leadership” of the free world against
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the threat of Russia has been a
bit lackluster up to this point.
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On top of basically doing nothing in
response to the 2014 invasion of Crimea…
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And not spending nearly
enough on its own security…
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The EU spends more on Russian oil and
gas than financial aid to Ukraine…
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And is sitting on $300 billion in Russian
assets without using it to support Ukraine,
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while deepening trade with China,
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Which, in turn, helps fuel Russia’s war effort,
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As well as China’s own.
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I’m not hopeful that if China invade
Taiwan, Europe would act any differently.
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On top of that, you have European envoys telling
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Asia that it should not have to pick
between the US and the likes of China,
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While no one in Europe seems to have any concrete
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plans on how to actually
finish the war in Ukraine.
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“I asked people, ‘What is the European plan
to end this war?
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’ I can tell you one foreign minister told me,
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and I’m not going to say who it
was, but I can tell you what one of them told me,
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and that is the war goes on for another year,
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and at that point Russia will feel so
weakened that they’ll beg for peace.”
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Yeah! And if that doesn’t work out, then
they’ll just let it go for another year.
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And another.
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Eventually Russia will get so tired of
brutalizing Ukraine they’ll leave its ashes alone.
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Given its track record with Ukraine
and its deep, deep ties with China,
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will Europe actually do what’s
necessary if China invades Taiwan?
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Meanwhile, Trump’s track record shows that
he isn’t exactly a dictator’s darling.
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In a 2018 NATO summit, Trump warned that
Germany would be a, quote, captive of Russia
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if it allowed the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.
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They
laughed at him.
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Which was historic, as it may
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be the only time I’ve ever heard of Germans
laughing at anything.
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They’re a stoic people.
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Under Trump’s leadership, the US military
killed hundreds of Russian mercenaries in Syria.
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And before leaving office,
before Russia even invaded,
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Trump approved $250 million
dollars in lethal aid to Ukraine,
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Which the Biden administration froze.
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There are also the many ways Trump has set
in motion a radical change from traditional
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US China engagement and appeasement
to treating China for what it is:
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an adversary that’s bent on world domination.
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Even the Biden administration carried on a
lot of Trump’s policies, such as tariffs,
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military aid to the Asia Pacific, and more.
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This time around, Trump has also appointed
a lot of people who are critical of China,
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including the likes of Secretary of State
Marco Rubio and Navy Undersecretary Hung Cao .
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So if this is courting dictators, then Trump
needs some serious dating advice,
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because trying to crush their economy and kill their
soldiers ain’t how you get to second base.
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More recently, Trump made a
massive move against China.
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It’s called the America First Investment Policy,
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and it hits China where it hurts most: its wallet.
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I highly recommend that you watch my
breakdown of that memorandum.
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The link is below. But by way of one example—
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Trump
wants to charge every Chinese made ship
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$1million dollars for every port call in the US.
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It’s possible the reason why Trump is pushing so
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hard for a peace deal in Ukraine is so that
the US can focus more on fighting China.
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And Trump wants to finish the fight with China
so he can focus more on his true passion:
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Weird, troll-y AI posts.
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In addition, Trump might be looking to
history for guidance here
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. After all, this isn’t the first time the US
has had to make tough choices.
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During the Korean War, President Eisenhower opted
to end it by splitting the Korean Peninsula.
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The South Korean President
at the time opposed that.
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That’s why the truce was only signed
by the US, North Korea, and China.
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Eisenhower understood that North Korea, with
the support of China and the Soviet Union,
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were the aggressors, but he also knew that
completely unifying Korea under the South
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would cost far more lives and resources,
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and,
in doing so, hinder the US’ broader efforts
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to counter Soviet influence globally.
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By splitting up the Korean peninsula,
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Eisenhower helped South Korea survive to be the
modern,
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prosperous democracy that it is today
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And freed up resources to fight
the Soviet Union elsewhere.
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Just as the US needs to worry about China today.
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A lot of people argue that supporting
Ukraine to get everything it wants
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is the only acceptable way to counter
authoritarians like Russia and China.
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After all, if the US lets Russia get
away with getting its objectives,
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wouldn’t that send a message to China
that it can do the same with Taiwan?
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China definitely needs to hear that it will suffer high costs
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if it does something as
stupidly dangerous as invade Taiwan.
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However, if the US completely depletes its
financial and military reserves in Ukraine,
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it could actually encourage a Chinese invasion of
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Taiwan because the US wouldn’t
be able to come to Taiwan’s aid.
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Especially considering China’s
economy and military might is much,
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much greater than Russia’s.
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A lot of people are ticked off
with the way Trump deals with other countries.
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They criticize
him for being too transactional.
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Chen Fang-yu at Soochow University
in Taipei argues that "If everything
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is transactional, then that
solid relationship is gone”.
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But it could be said that by
making things transactional,
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you actually make things more solid.
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For years, I’ve seen how the brutalities of
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the Chinese Communist Party have
been ignored on the global stage.
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All the beautiful talk of human
rights and democracy
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get thrown out the window when money is on the line.
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So what if instead of appealing to vague
abstract ideas like defending democracy,
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What about demanding something
more tangible, such as,
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say, a minerals deal, you ensure that
people actually have a stake in something.
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Human rights and democracy become profitable.
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This, in turn, could force adversaries to think
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twice before doing something that
would elicit a strong response.
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As much as people criticize Trump for saying
things like Taiwan should pay more to the US…
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And threatening tariffs,
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What Trump is demanding could help
solidify the US’s commitment to
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Taiwan far more than just saying
we need to defend democracies.
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Or to paraphrase the great geopolitical
thinker Beyonce,
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“If you liked it, then you should have put a ring
on it… made from rare minerals.”
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Getting things like the $100 billion
dollar investment from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
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would make it so that the US
has to ensure it gets its money’s worth.
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It also further justifies to domestic
audiences why defending Taiwan is worth it.
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But what do you think? Leave your comments below.
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We’re all about freedom of
expression, so no judgement.
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But do you know who might not be a big fan
of freedom of expression?
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That’s right, Apple—which just so happens to rely
on the China market
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for more than $50 billion in revenue per year.
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Weird
coincidence that Apple is refusing to
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process the China Uncensored App
we submitted nearly 6 weeks ago.
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So click below and sign this petition
to tell Apple to not censor the China Uncensored App!
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Remember, we need at
least 10,000 signatures, so don’t wait!
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I’m Chris Chappell. Click below.