< Return to Video

200 Years of Tech Panics: From Bicycles to AI

  • 0:00 - 0:02
    ♪ [music] ♪
  • 0:05 - 0:06
    - [Narrator] Pop quiz!
  • 0:06 - 0:08
    What invention
    is this historical quote
  • 0:08 - 0:09
    referring to?
  • 0:09 - 0:12
    - [man 1] "In the future years,
    it will be found that the [beep]
  • 0:12 - 0:15
    has had a permanent effect
    upon the morals of our age.
  • 0:15 - 0:17
    Go into our homes, and you will see
  • 0:17 - 0:20
    that father and mother
    and brother and sister
  • 0:21 - 0:23
    bow in subjection to the [beep]."
  • 0:23 - 0:24
    - [Narrator] Any guesses?
  • 0:25 - 0:28
    The radio, TV, video games?
  • 0:28 - 0:29
    The smartphone?
  • 0:29 - 0:31
    Wrong! Who guessed
    the teddy bear?
  • 0:33 - 0:34
    While it might seem silly
  • 0:34 - 0:37
    to fret over a "fuzzy,
    stupid stuffed animal"
  • 0:37 - 0:40
    and to call a teddy bear
    "a horrid little beast" --
  • 0:40 - 0:42
    it's not out of the norm at all.
  • 0:43 - 0:46
    New inventions
    are a continual source of fear.
  • 0:46 - 0:49
    What about perfectly innocent
    inventions like bicycles?
  • 0:50 - 0:53
    - [woman] "The bicycle
    is the devil's advance agent,
  • 0:53 - 0:54
    morally and physically,
  • 0:54 - 0:56
    in thousands of instances."
  • 0:57 - 1:00
    - [Narrator] Wow! Bicycles
    were the work of the devil?
  • 1:01 - 1:03
    Wonder what people thought
    about the invention of cars?
  • 1:05 - 1:08
    - [man 1] "Motoring
    is one of the most contemptible,
  • 1:08 - 1:11
    soul-destroying,
    and devitalizing pursuits."
  • 1:12 - 1:14
    - [Narrator] In England,
    fears of these horseless carriages
  • 1:14 - 1:17
    led to a speed limit of just 4 mph,
  • 1:18 - 1:19
    with a person walking ahead
  • 1:19 - 1:22
    waving a red flag
    to warn bystanders.
  • 1:23 - 1:27
    Every significant invention
    caused a moral panic in its time:
  • 1:27 - 1:28
    radio,
  • 1:29 - 1:30
    electricity,
  • 1:30 - 1:31
    TV,
  • 1:32 - 1:33
    Internet,
  • 1:34 - 1:37
    smartphones, and, yes,
  • 1:37 - 1:38
    even books!
  • 1:39 - 1:40
    Socrates was not a fan.
  • 1:41 - 1:43
    - [man 2] "Books
    will create forgetfulness
  • 1:43 - 1:44
    in the learners' souls
  • 1:44 - 1:46
    because they will not use
    their memories."
  • 1:47 - 1:50
    - [Narrator] What about
    artificial intelligence?
  • 1:51 - 1:54
    It's normal and natural to see AI
  • 1:54 - 1:56
    and fear how it might
    change society.
  • 1:56 - 1:59
    It has the potential
    of a civilizational destruction.
  • 2:00 - 2:02
    - [Narrator] However,
    if history is any guide,
  • 2:02 - 2:04
    we have little hope
    of accurately predicting
  • 2:04 - 2:06
    anything about its impact.
  • 2:07 - 2:10
    You might say,
    forget the moral panic,
  • 2:10 - 2:11
    what about jobs?
  • 2:13 - 2:16
    Shouldn't we be scared
    of being replaced by AI?
  • 2:20 - 2:23
    Certainly, new technologies
    will take some jobs,
  • 2:23 - 2:25
    just as they have in the past.
  • 2:26 - 2:28
    Ever heard of the job
    "knocker-upper"?
  • 2:28 - 2:30
    It's not what it sounds like!
  • 2:31 - 2:32
    During the Industrial Revolution,
  • 2:32 - 2:33
    it was someone's job
  • 2:33 - 2:36
    to go door to door
    and wake people up.
  • 2:38 - 2:40
    So roosters were replaced
    by knocker-uppers,
  • 2:40 - 2:42
    who were replaced by alarm clocks,
  • 2:42 - 2:44
    which were replaced by cell phones,
  • 2:44 - 2:46
    which will probably eventually
    be replaced by something else.
  • 2:47 - 2:51
    Many of the voices you've heard
    in this video aren't people,
  • 2:51 - 2:52
    but AI-generated.
  • 2:52 - 2:53
    - [AI voice] Hi. I'm Hal.
  • 2:54 - 2:55
    - [AI voice] I'm Samantha.
  • 2:55 - 2:57
    - [AI voice] My name is Rachael.
  • 2:57 - 2:58
    - [Narrator] Don't worry,
    I'm a real human
  • 2:58 - 3:00
    and still have a job...
  • 3:00 - 3:01
    - [AI voice] For now!
  • 3:01 - 3:02
    - [Narrator] Oh, boy!
  • 3:02 - 3:04
    But knocker-upper is one job.
  • 3:04 - 3:05
    What does the data say
  • 3:05 - 3:07
    about the overall trends
    in job loss?
  • 3:08 - 3:11
    Here's the unemployment rate
    and labor force participation rate
  • 3:11 - 3:13
    in the United States since 1950.
  • 3:13 - 3:17
    Despite all the technological
    advancements of the past century,
  • 3:17 - 3:19
    labor force participation
    has remained steady
  • 3:19 - 3:22
    and unemployment hasn't shot up.
  • 3:22 - 3:23
    Why?
  • 3:23 - 3:24
    Technology destroys,
  • 3:25 - 3:26
    but it also creates.
  • 3:26 - 3:28
    Knocker-uppers
    might be out of a job,
  • 3:28 - 3:32
    but there were plenty of new jobs
    created for designing,
  • 3:32 - 3:35
    manufacturing, marketing,
    and distributing alarm clocks.
  • 3:35 - 3:36
    [ringing]
  • 3:36 - 3:39
    Think of all the career
    opportunities
  • 3:39 - 3:41
    that didn't exist a decade ago.
  • 3:41 - 3:43
    So should we be worried
    about technology?
  • 3:45 - 3:47
    At the individual level, maybe.
  • 3:47 - 3:49
    Depending on your job,
  • 3:49 - 3:51
    you could be
    the next knocker-upper,
  • 3:51 - 3:54
    switchboard operator,
    or voiceover actor.
  • 3:54 - 3:55
    Wait, what? Come on!
  • 3:55 - 3:57
    - [background voice] Okay. Cut!
  • 3:57 - 3:59
    - [AI narrator]
    While AI might replace
  • 3:59 - 4:00
    some voiceover actors,
  • 4:01 - 4:02
    at a societal level,
  • 4:02 - 4:04
    history suggests that we will see
  • 4:04 - 4:07
    both jobs lost
    and new jobs created,
  • 4:07 - 4:09
    many of which
    we can't even imagine.
  • 4:10 - 4:12
    But could this time be different?
  • 4:12 - 4:14
    [dramatic noises]
  • 4:16 - 4:18
    We'll explore this question
    in future videos.
  • 4:19 - 4:20
    But if history is any guide,
  • 4:20 - 4:23
    the terminators we fear
    will turn out to be teddy bears.
  • 4:26 - 4:29
    If you're a teacher, you should
    check out our free unit plan
  • 4:29 - 4:30
    that uses this video.
  • 4:31 - 4:34
    If you're a student,
    visit the links in the description
  • 4:34 - 4:36
    for more resources
    on how to use AI to learn.
  • 4:37 - 4:40
    Or if you're just curious
    to watch more videos like this,
  • 4:40 - 4:41
    check out this playlist.
  • 4:41 - 4:43
    ♪ [music] ♪
Title:
200 Years of Tech Panics: From Bicycles to AI
ASR Confidence:
1.00
Description:

more » « less
Video Language:
English
Team:
Marginal Revolution University
Project:
Other videos
Duration:
04:46

English subtitles

Revisions Compare revisions