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- [Instructor] We are asked
what is the critical value,
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t star or t asterisk, for constructing
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a 98% confidence interval for a mean
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from a sample size of n is
equal to 15 observations?
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So just as a reminder
of what's going on here,
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you have some population.
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There's a parameter here,
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let's say it's the population mean.
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We do not know what this
is, so we take a sample.
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Here we're going to take a sample of 15,
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so n is equal to 15, and from that sample
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we can calculate a sample mean.
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But we also want to construct
a 98% confidence interval
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about that sample mean.
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So we're going to go take that sample mean
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and we're going to go plus or
minus some margin of error.
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Now in other videos we have talked about
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that we want to use
the t distribution here
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because we don't want to
underestimate the margin of error,
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so it's going to be t star times
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the sample standard deviation divided by
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the square root of our sample
size, which in this case
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is going to be 15, so
the square root of n.
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What they're asking us is
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what is the appropriate critical value?
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What is the t star that we
should use in this situation?
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We're about to look at, I
guess we call it a t table
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instead of a z table, but
the key thing to realize
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is there's one extra variable
to take into consideration
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when we're looking up the
appropriate critical value
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on a t table, and that's this
notion of degree of freedom.
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Sometimes it's abbreviated df.
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I'm not going in depth
on degrees of freedom.
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It's actually a pretty deep concept,
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but it's this idea that you
actually have a different
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t distribution depending on
the different sample sizes,
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depending on the degrees of freedom,
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and your degree of freedom is going to be
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your sample size minus one.
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In this situation, our degree
of freedom is going to be
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15 minus one, so in this
situation our degree of freedom
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is going to be equal to 14.
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This isn't the first time
that we have seen this.
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We talked a little bit
about degrees of freedom
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when we first talked about
sample standard deviations
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and how to have an unbiased estimate
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for the population standard deviation.
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In future videos we'll go into
more advanced conversations
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about degrees of freedom,
but for the purposes
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of this example, you need to know that
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when you're looking at the t distribution
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for a given degree of freedom,
your degree of freedom
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is based on the sample
size and it's going to be
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your sample size minus one
when we're thinking about
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a confidence interval for your mean.
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Now let's look at the t table.
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We want a 98% confidence interval
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and we want a degree of freedom of 14.
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Let's get our t table out, and I actually
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copied and pasted this
bottom part and moved it up
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so you could see the whole thing here.
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What's useful about this t table
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is they actually give
our confidence levels
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right over here, so if you
want a confidence level of 98%,
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you're going to look at this column,
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you're going to look at
this column right over here.
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Another way of thinking about
a confidence level of 98%,
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if you have a confidence level of 98%,
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that means you're leaving 1% unfilled in
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at either end of the
tail, so if you're looking
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at your t distribution,
everything up to and including
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that top 1%, you would
look for a tail probability
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of 0.01, which is, you
can't see right over there.
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Let me do it in a slightly brighter color,
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which would be that tail
probability to the right.
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Either way, we're in this
column right over here.
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We have a confidence level of 98%.
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Remember, our degrees of freedom,
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our degree of freedom here,
we have 14 degrees of freedom,
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so we'll look at this row right over here.
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So there you have it.
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This is our critical t value, 2.624.
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So let's just go back here.
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2.264 is this choice right
over here, and we're done.