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Hello, I'm Yanis Varoufakis
with a few thoughts on what
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we should be watching out
for as the Palestinian
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genocide unfolds.
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Watching, on the one hand,
the Israeli soldiers' video
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confessions of their genocidal
intent and acts, and on the
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other hand, the Palestinians'
live streaming of their own
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deaths and devastation, it is
ever so easy to throw one's
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hands up in the air, to
despair, to want to shut the
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cruelty out, to disengage,
to find solace in oblivion.
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But it is not only ethically
wrong to surrender to
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despair, it is also
factually wrong that nothing
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good can be expected.
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Things change every day, and
yes, in the midst of this
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misery, of this inhumanity,
the seeds of hope are already
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planted on the blood-soaked
soil of the ancient
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land of Palestine.
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They may only be seeds, but
that's how new life is born.
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Let us begin with a
difficult to discern,
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yet indubitable reality.
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Israel is not winning
on the battlefields.
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Gaza has been destroyed, yes.
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Its population, its entire
population, the entire
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population of Gaza
is on death row.
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And yet, the smarter amongst
those in the Israeli military
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know full well that the
destruction they wreaked does
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not translate into a victory.
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15 months after they
re-invaded the open prison
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that was Gaza us since 1948.
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They still cannot
control more than a small
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portion of it at a time.
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Armed resistance, including
the regular blowing
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up of Israeli mighty
tanks, is continuing.
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Israeli military officers
also know that their political
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leaders' stated aim of
eradicating Hamas can never
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be demonstrably achieved.
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However many Hamas fighters
they kill, as a former Israeli
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general put it to me, even
if we kill most of the Gazans
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before we declare victory.
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A single teenager raising
a single Hamas flag over
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a pile of rubble will
prove that we failed.
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Similarly in Lebanon.
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Yes, Israel has killed much of
the Hezbollah leadership and
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yes, the ceasefire it imposed
on Hezbollah succeeded
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in stopping the Hezbollah
missile launches in solidarity
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with the Palestinian
resistance further south.
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However, the Lebanon ceasefire
was also forced upon Israel
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by its army's inability to
venture without massive losses
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by more than a few kilometers
into Lebanese territory.
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And lest we forget, it is
simply not true that Hezbollah
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had to accept the ceasefire
because its missile
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arsenal was destroyed.
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Israel signed the ceasefire
hours after missiles,
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you remember that?
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Missiles of Hezbollah hit
Haifa and indeed Tel Aviv.
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In other words, the past
year will be remembered
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as a cruel paradox.
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Israel destroyed Gaza and
much of South Lebanon,
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mainly from the air.
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But Israel failed abysmally
to control the ground.
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The time is fast approaching
when Israeli society will
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realize that the thousands
of Israeli soldiers that were
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killed or seriously wounded
were the victims of an Israeli
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leadership that ultimately
placed the interests of those
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soldiers and the people of
Israel very low in their
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own list of priorities.
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This is also confirmed by the
readiness of the Netanyahu
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government to lie through
its teeth about its own
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casualties on the battlefield.
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Compare the low number of
casualties officially admitted
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with the more than 20,000
soldiers that Israel's health
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authorities are telling us
they have admitted to veteran
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rehabilitation centres.
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Turning now to the medium and
long-term impact of the war on
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Israel's economy, which, after
all, is of great significance
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from the perspective of the
apartheid state's capacity to
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reproduce itself through war
and devastation, its financial
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capacity to reproduce itself.
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Well, it isn't instructive
to read a letter signed by
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more than a hundred Israeli
economists, including Dan
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Bendavid, who explained in
full technicality how Israel's
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economic miracle is now in
peril, how it hinges,
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iit always hinged, on a high-tech
sector that numbers at
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most 300,000 souls,
including doctors,
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scientists,
technologists, academics.
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And Ben David's point being,
well, if only 10%, he says,
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of these 300,000, in other
words, if only about 30,000
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of those experts and
high-tech, well-educated elite,
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if around 30,000 of
them leave the country,
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Israel's already
hugely indebted economy
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will simply fade out.
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In Ben David's even starker
words and I quote:
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'We won't become a third world country,
we just won't be anymore.
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Only 0.6% of the
population are doctors
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but who trains them?
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The senior staff in
research universities
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are 0.1% of the people.
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High-tech workers are
6% of the population.
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Altogether, this is
what I said before,
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it's 300,000 people.
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It's enough that a critical
mass of this group chooses not
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to be here tomorrow morning
and the state of Israel
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leaves the developed world.'
Close quotation marks.
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Are they leaving?
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You bet they are.
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Leaving behind them, in a more
influential position, more
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dominant than ever, the
low productivity bigots
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who are driving the fascist
settler movement in the
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occupied territories.
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And the more dominant these
low productivity bigots
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become, within government
and in society,
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the greater the exodus of the
high-tech, secular,
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more liberally-minded Israelis.
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This is the definition
of a spiral of collapse.
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This spiral is, of course,
utterly connected with the
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precipitous reputational loss
of Israel, the massacres,
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the genocide of Palestinians,
and in particular, the manner
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in which so so many Israeli
soldiers and politicians
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celebrate it in videos, in
speeches, in posts on X.
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All that has claimed what
is left of the illusion of
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Israel as a European liberal
democracy embedded in
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a hostile Middle East.
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That illusion has been a
central underpinning of
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the propaganda that helped
Israeli lobbyists succeed in
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Washington and in Brussels.
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Now it is gone.
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It has drowned in the sea of
flesh and blood the Israeli
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military has strewn all over
Gaza, wherever they went.
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And of course the trail
of destruction, hatred and
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viciousness that the settlers
have unleashed across the
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West Bank and in East Jerusalem.
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Once Israel's cleverly
constructed reputation
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has gone solid, it
cannot be reclaimed.
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And that is good news in the
sense that the first step
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towards a just peace is
the ethical fall from
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grace of the aggressor.
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Turning now to the situation
in the West Bank, it is
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utterly heart-wrenching to
watch the non-stop violence
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against the Palestinians
who live under the brutal
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apartheid regime in the
West Bank in East Jerusalem.
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The violence against the
Palestinians in the West Bank
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and in East Jerusalem comes
from three quite separate,
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but of course interlinked
and connected quarters.
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It comes from the Israeli
military, from Israeli
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settlers, and most tragically,
from the Palestinian
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Authority's own security
forces who are in the midst of
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the genocide of their people
by the apartheid state,
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they are cooperating fully
with the security forces of
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that same apartheid state.
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Why the Israeli
army is doing it?
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We know.
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Why the Israeli
settlers are doing it?
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We know.
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But why oh why is the
leadership of the Palestinian
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Authority doing it?
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It's important to note that
this is not the first time.
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The Palestinian Authority,
the leadership has cooperated
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fully with the Israeli
occupiers for a
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very long time.
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With occupiers, remember, who
are steadfastly rejecting any
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prospect of the Palestinian
Authority becoming the
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government of a Palestinian
state, which contradicts the
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very raison d'etre of the
Palestinian Authority,
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which, ostensibly, is to
set up a Palestinian state.
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But now, in the face of
the fully-fledged genocidal
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campaign by Israel, the
Palestinian Authority's
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excuses are becoming
transparent, thin,
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impossible to fathom.
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The unelected,
unrepresentative, patently
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corrupt leadership of the
Palestinian Authority is
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behaving as if to impress
Netanyahu, and soon Trump,
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that they, the Palestinian
Authority, can do Netanyahu's
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and Trump's dirty work
for them, with a veneer
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of legitimacy, that they
have a role to play.
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That's what they are trying to
convince Netanyahu and Trump.
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It is a pathetic plea to
the genocidal US-Israeli
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establishment to give them a
job to do, especially now that
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the Palestinian people have
seen through them,
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nothing else explains why they, the
leadership of the Palestinian
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Authority, are turning
even against Fatah
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members who continue
to resist in Jenin
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and elsewhere.
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This, I have to confess, is
the saddest, most depressing
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aspect of the Palestinian
tragedy, so I shall not dwell
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on it, except to reiterate the
urgent need for the election
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of a representative and thus
legitimate leadership of
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the Palestinian people.
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No peace can be imagined, let
alone be negotiated otherwise.
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I hope and trust that the
Palestinians will find
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a way to speak with
one representative,
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non-sectarian voice.
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Nothing short of that is
called for as the Palestinian
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people face genocide.
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As for the rest of us, we
must stand by to help give
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this voice, their voice,
a chance to be heard.
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To sum up, to conclude,
days before Donald Trump
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enters the White House.
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I'm speaking to you on the
9th of January, to give
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you the precise date.
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Donald Trump is about to
enter the White House.
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A man who has never
not liked any war crime
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aimed at eradicating the
Palestinian resistance.
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The Palestinians as a
people, native to Palestine.
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Just before this man
enters the White House,
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we are at a crossroads.
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Not just as Palestinians,
as Europeans, Americans, as
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humanity, as a humanity that
is watching a genocide unfold
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in real-time on our screens.
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And what is this crossroads?
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Allow me to paint it
with a few brush strokes.
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We have mega-deaths and
uber-destruction on the
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ground, wreaked by a
US-armed and European
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Union-supported Israel.
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A spiral of collapse within
Israel's social economy.
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Arab countries split between
complicit regimes and
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enraged population citizens.
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A Global South that is
becoming increasingly powerful
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and increasingly intolerant
of the Western Israeli
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self-awarded right ethnically
to cleanse the non-Jewish
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native population.
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And a Western public
opinion that can no longer
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pretend not to know.
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What is the upshot of this
picture, of these crossroads?
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If I were to issue an educated
guess, it would be this.
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Things will get even
worse for the Palestinians
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in the short run.
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But, in the longer run, the
possibility of liberation,
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of a just peace for Palestinians
who refuse to go gently
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into the good night, and for
Israelis, who understand the
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trap into which the Netanyahu
regime has ensnared them seems
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stronger than it has been
for at least 30 years.
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Thank you and let's keep up
the campaign for a just peace
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in the Middle East, which
is a prerequisite for
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the liberation of us all.
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Carpe diem.