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Hello, this is Nakata Atsuhiko.
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Let's get right into the lecture!
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Extreme modern society.
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Episode 'The companies to conquer the year 2025!'
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We are back with 'I want to know!'
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2025, that is five years later.
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If we don't know beforehand what will happen in these five years,
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It is hard to decide on how to act.
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2015, which was five years ago.
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Who thought that Nakata will become a Youtuber?
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I did not even imagine, 2015 is still before the popularity of 'PERFECT HUMAN)'.
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This is when I was right about to form 'RADIO FISH'.
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I never thought even a little bit that I would become a Youtuber.
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And in five years, the world changes.
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And so the five years ahead.
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If we know the next five years, there is nothing to be afraid of,
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And since we know the future, we can move according to it.
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So it is like a cheat state.
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Sometimes, the ability to make full use of one's ability is the most normal yet the strongest.
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And today, we are going to receive those abilities.
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So what is Nakata reading?
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Let me introduce this book.
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' Destructive Companies that will rule over 2025'
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It says 'We cannot escape these 11 companies!'
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They say that there are 11 companies.
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And this is the most interesting thing about the author.
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Everyone, if we ask about the companies that we cannot escape,
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We can approximately think of four right?
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Google, Amazon, FaceBook, Apple, or what we call GAFA.
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And everyone will answer with this GAFA.
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But this author, says that is why it won't work.
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Investors over the world are looking further ahead.
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Thus, everyone knows that GAFA will take over the world.
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But if you know that there are not only GAFA,
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In five years, you can win.
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The author says that they know it is not only GAFA.
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So what does the author do?
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They are an investor in venture capital.
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Investors would have looked at different venture companies that are along with GAFA.
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Because GAFA is enormous.
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Whether it is parts that are lacking for themselves, or likely to be rivals,
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And so because they have increasingly bought these venture companies like this, they have been able to keep their companies.
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For a famous case, Google bought YouTube.
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And they hit the jackpot right away right?
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Facebook.
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When it was becoming an image where it was a SNS that older people used,
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They bought Instagram right away.
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They supplemented their weaker genre.
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They supplement, fortify, and strengthen, in order to get stronger.
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And so they have built a standing like this.
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What companies GAFA will buy,
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Or buying is impossible, but finding where the innovative companies are,
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Venture capital investors are always looking with this perspective.
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Out of these, the ones that are very highlighted overseas,
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But not well known to Japanese people, and the greatness isn't fathomable,
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I want to introduce it properly to everyone.
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And they say that these 11 companies will take over the world.
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These 11 companies, are not GAFA, but also called FAANG.
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As N is added, the order of the alphabet changed.
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The N is FAANG is NetFlix. We talked about it in previous lessons right?
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The company called NetFlix is taking over the world.
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Japanese people think that Netflix is similar to Amazon Prime or Hulu,
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And might think it is one of them.
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But in the US there is only one NetFlix.
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Amazon Video is just using it along with Amazon Prime's service.
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But in video streaming, there is only one Netflix.
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And so Netflix, which is just as strong, is added.
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And they also say +m.
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FAANG+m, what is this m?
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It is Microsoft.
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Microsoft was very popular back then.
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There were big impressions left by Bill Gates.
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They are already on its second, third CEO.
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The third CEO revived the company and became the company that it is today.
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They say that the second CEO made two critical mistake.
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What is that?
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It is because they did not go along with the Cloud period.
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Thus, Microsoft is a company that sells software.
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They sell Windows, an OS.
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Even thought the Cloud period came, they did not go along with it.
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As a plus, they were restrained by PCs and laptops.
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When the victory of Windows was at their brightest,
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They said that they will not put in Microsoft in smartphones.
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They did not think about smartphones during that time.
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They did not read the times where smartphones would be used more often than PCs.
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But from then, subscription.
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With a monthly fee, they provided various services and became popular again.
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And since they are trying to provide more services,
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FAANG+m, these are the 6 companies.
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Where are the remaining Plus five?
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Just by knowing these five companies,
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You will have a gap with surrounding people.
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Now let's distance that gap now!
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Number one, it is Tesla.
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Congratulations Tesla!
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You are part of these five companies.
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Tesla!
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'Isn't it that electrical car?' 'It's the electric car that celebs ride.'
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If you thought that, that is a big mistake.
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Tesla.
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In Japan,
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They aren't selling as well.
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But in Japan, they are selling immensely.
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When I was doing the YouTube college location special, I went to the US.
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And I was surprised to see a lot of Teslas.
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In Japan, you rarely see them right?
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And you see it so rarely you might think 'A rich person is riding that~'
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But in the US, Tesla, Tesla, Tesla, Tesla.
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Majority of the parking lots are filled with Teslas.
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It is a great deal.
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And this Tesla.
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If you think it is a company where they make electrical cars, you are very mistaken.
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Here.
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What Tesla is trying to do in the future is transportation revolution.
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In this book, they say that Tesla is trying to provide Robot taxis.
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They are trying to raise a very unusual revolution.
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This robot taxi, in conclusion is a automated driving taxi.
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You can see what it is right?
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What would happen when this is distributed?
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Truthfully.
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Right now, share rides.
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In Japan, ride sharing apps are more popular.
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There are people who are familiar with Uber from UberEats.
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Share ride services such as Uber or Grab,
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They having been increasingly distributed.
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It is a service where an amateur driver drives.
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If you tell them where to take you, the amateur driver takes you.
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In Japan, UberEats delivers in the opposite way.
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And these services have been taking over.
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The majority of fees from this service are labor costs.
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And if no one rides,
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They are going to put the remaining cars to automatic driving.
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And what would happen?
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It would become cheap.
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Even in the day where a robot taxi is functioning.
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Everyone thinks that taxis are more expensive than the subway right?
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You might think Taxis are for rich people.
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Or that a business man rides it using company funds.
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You might think, 'Let's just ride the subway...'
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It is wrong.
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A taxi that is cheaper than the subway will become reality.
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If you call it from the app, the automated mobility comes.
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You ride, and get off, and there is no need to pay.
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The payment is done through the app and the receipt is created in the app.
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That is already been provided in rideshare apps.
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But as this becomes unmanned,
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Is it even necessary to think for the price becoming cheaper.
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If you imagine the price becoming cheaper,
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There will be more people who will take robot taxis instead of the subway.
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And what will happen then?
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Right now, in this COVID situation, the need in not facing people will be met.
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If the price is cheap and you don't need to face people, of course the robot taxi will win right?
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For robot taxis to win rideshare apps like Uber, it is fine up to here.
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For rideshare, you have to get in a car where you don't know who got in before you.
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I see a future where robot taxi will take over rideshare.
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It's interesting.
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And one more interesting point about Tesla. They are trying to do 'Hyperloop'
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It is amazing.
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It is a linear motor car.
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A linear motor car.
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Linear means a train using magnets, and it is over 500km a hour.
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You all never have gone 500km a hour on a car.
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You will definitely die.
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It is going 500km a hour.
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But hyperloop is a new structure.
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It creates a vacuum in the tube and it is a train that flies inside there.
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It is 1000km a hour.
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Over 100km a hour.
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If this is made and founded, railroad companies are in big trouble.
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If this is made and founded, railroad companies are in trouble.
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It is not just a problem in the US.
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If that is sold all over the world?
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It would become a very destructive company.
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Even if it might bulldoze over all the railroad companies in the country,
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If adapting this structure raises productivity and the economy becomes better,
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Of course they would choose this structure right?
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And they say that they can apply it to cars.
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They will build an exclusive road, exclusive tunnels.
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And if they apply automated driving cars, they can go in very fast speeds.
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Since it is manual driving and it is not an exclusive road.
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There is somewhat of a limited speed.
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But with automated driving and with a exclusive tunnel, cars can fly right on.
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And they started first with the business called the Boring Company.
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And they are trying to deliver it in a ridiculous speed.
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And the average Japanese person might think 'Will electric cars be common?'.
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'Will Tesla become distributed in Japan?'
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And it is not 'will.'
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Electric cars are going to sell well, and robot taxis will be supplied,
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And it will take over what we call railway companies.
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And it will take over rideshares.
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And internationally, it can take over the subways like the bullet trains.
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And with automated driving and high speed transportation, the format of highways will change.
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Highways and bullet trains, and even formats of taxis.
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Tesla has the possibility to change everything.
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And so with just the recognition that they sell electric cars,
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People are not predicting the future.
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It's fun right? Elon Musk.
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Yes, it is very amazing.
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And next, it is Impossible Foods.
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We talked about this is the previous Vegan lesson.
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For vegans, thinking specifically
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That they are people who just eat vegetables and have distinct likes and dislikes.
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It was a content saying that that is not the case.
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And right now, what we call vegan has winds of change in the business side.
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The reason is because of things like climate change.
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Or ethical problems concerning meat industry.
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And it is a dietary life which can clear these two things.
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And we said that it is very closely related to environmental problems.
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And there are more regulations on companies that are harmful to the environment.
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The game is changing.
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We said that a lot.
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And so, when they release a lot of CO2, 'Pay up, pay taxes.'
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And say 'Pay surcharges.'
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The stocks of companies that release a lot of CO2 will drop.
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And so they have to buy rights to release CO2 in other places.
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The profits of clean companies will go up.
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And it was covered in here.
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Bean replacement meat.
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When we say bean replacement meat.
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We see it sometimes in the market and wonder if it tastes good or not.
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The flavor of bean replacement meats are getting better.
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It is certain.
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As there are more people who are curious about the flavor, the flavor usually improves.
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And it is like that for other foods.
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This Impossible Food is highly anticipated.
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The market capitalization is getting higher.
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For similar companies there is a company called Beyond Meat.
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And their market capitalization is a whopping 1 trillion yen. (10 trillion won), it is ridiculous.
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500 billion yen (5 trillion won), 1 trillion yen (10 trillion won). The world is becoming like this.
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In the future, it will definitely change to this side.
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And so if you say, 'Vegan? Um..' is not being informed.
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It is wrong.
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The tides of change that favor environmentally friendly companies means,
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That this place will swallow and go forth during these times.
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If it is like this.
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Our lifestyles might change a bit.
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There might be a time where we say, 'Back then, we ate meat..'
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And so what business would be good to do?
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For people in the food industry, wouldn't it be good to take these into account?
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And next, this was the most interesting.
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Out of these five companies, the one I focused the most is,
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Robinhood.
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What kind of company is Robinhood.
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This
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It is a service where you can do stock and share simply on the phone.
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And the fees are zero.
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In the industry, an unprecedented destructive company appeared.
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You can buy it with the smartphone app.
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Up until now, you had to buy stocks on the internet.
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But if you try to buy stocks on the internet, a lot of the process is tiring.
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You have to open your laptop and fill out various contracts and turn in an application.
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And this is for people who thought these things to be tedious.
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And for people who were concerned about fees, it is a service for them.
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And the user interface is very elegant and easy to understand.
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And just as if you were playing a game, you can buy stocks or trade.
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And this had a very big impact.
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Especially to other stock vendors and internet stocks.
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They thought they can't just let this be.
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And they had no choice but to gradually change their fees to zero.
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It is a destructive app.
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And this part is interesting, they save data on what stocks you buy and read the data.
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'This stock will be on the rise, what do you think?'
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'This person like the tech industry'
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Or 'This person has an interest in the food industry, they must know well.'
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'Out of the food industry these companies are on the rise, what do you think?'
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And recommend it through this way.
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It is a Netflix version of stocks.
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And these things are happening.
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And they say that there is no reason that these companies will not grow in Japan.
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Isn't it fun?
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To be wary of fees,
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We talked about it often in video lessons about money.
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The thing to never to do is going to a window of a major corporate stock company.
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And you can become an uneducated customer.
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And no matter, they always recommend active funds which have a high fee.
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And even if operation performance is good, due to fees, there is no rise in profits.
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It is because they bought it through a person.
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An index fund is better,
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Saying it is better automated, it is better to buy online,
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It is ultimately focused on lowering fees.
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It is wondering what the annual operation fee is per year.
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1%,2%,5% 6%, it is all over the place.
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The power of compound is scary, but when used well, it is powerful.
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1% and 6% is a very big difference.
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Due to fees, you might think that 6% can become 1% or not.
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But in the meanwhile, zero fees.
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I think that is incredible.
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And number four, CrowdStrike
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Congratulations!
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I forgot to congratulate number two and three.
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Yes, the company called CrowdStrike,
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They have a service called AntiVirus soft.
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It is a soft ware which installs Firewalls and blocks viruses.
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There might be some people that think it is tedious to download and update it every time.
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And there is the downside of purchasing it.
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And with that software it was a question on whether the speed would improve.
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And this software was actually a very old model.
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Back then, there wasn't a feeling of feeling connected on the Internet.
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When you had to connect, you had to connect like 'Beep~'
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And you use it when you use it and you turn it off.
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And ask 'How much is it a minute?'
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And during this timeline, the solution was Anti Virus Soft.
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And the company saw that this soft was behind the times quickly and searched.
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And what they made was a method of checking from the inside of the cloud.
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And so it is the Strike system which it is constantly connected to the cloud.
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It fights back, and attacks.
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It is a system where it strikes the virus.
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This has been supplied greatly.
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If you listen to it you agree with it, but something no one's thought of before.
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It caught that uncomfortable point.
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And this CrowdStrike is amazing.
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It has the 1-10-60 System.
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In one minutes, it detects, it investigates in 10 minutes, and seals it within 60 minutes.
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With CrowdStrike, this is possible.
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It's really fast right?
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And since it is always activated, they say it will be a big hit.
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But if someone doesn't tell you, you wouldn't know.
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Whether CrowdStrike is doing well, we don't normally talk about these things with friends.
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And now Shopify!
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We talked about it recently in the Amazon lesson.
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'The future that will become Amazonfied' That was the lesson.
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And in the comments, there were a lot of comments asking to talk about Shopify.
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I think a lot of different people are watching my videos.
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The app called Shopify.
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There are some news that it could make Amazon or Rakuten unstable.
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It is coming out slowly, did you know?
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And so, how different is Shopify and Amazon?
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If I don't explain this part, you wouldn't know.
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Shopify and Amazon seem like a similar service yet different.
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Amazon sells products from various places.
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For example, if you search gloves, there are many gloves from different companies.
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But shopping malls made this.
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You know shopping malls.
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You go to a lot of places like AEON.
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There are many stores that are launched there.
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And you can think that the internet version of these shopping malls is Amazon.
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And in order to launch their shops in these shopping malls,
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Retailers pay a lot of fees to the shopping malls.
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But the retailers have a concern.
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It is the same for fashion brands that are in department stores.
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When they launch their shop in shopping malls, the problems is that the fees are expensive.
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And these days, places like Nike or Disney,
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They stated that they will no longer sell items through Amazon.
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And just when they were wondering what to do, Shopify arrived just in time.
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Shopify is an independent E-commerce.
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Since it is independent, they can launch a Nike store.
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And it is a service where they made this process easier.
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A famous different service in Japan called BASE is the same.
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BASE is also independent.
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When you search, the items do not come out all at once,
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But they each make a shop site for their own.
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And in this way, the service is established.
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This method is good for companies where their brand image is already established.
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Thus, it is more advantageous for brands with no name to rent a store in a shopping mall.
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If we take examples of comedians who talk,
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In a normal show, there is an order for them to appear on stage.
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From the top, someone, and Wagyu comes out and Mickey comes out..
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And in between, Oriental Radio squeezes in and comes out.
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Or, they have a solo Oriental Radio live show.
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And if they do a live show by themselves, only their fans show up,
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But if it is a person who already has a lot of customers,
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Not renting in a mall would be cheaper in fees right?
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And this is where Shopify got their idea.
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And now, places like Louis Vuitton, Disney, Nike are Anti Amazon.
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And they are coming over to this side saying they won't pay fees.
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And if later, places that have gotten popularity in Amazon
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Have a greater possibility of coming out of there and coming here.
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First they go into Amazon and as they gain popularity they go to Shopify.
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And in this case, it cannot be good for Amazon.
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And so we cannot let go of Shopify also. It is very interesting.
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Now, these five companies.
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It was a very diverse group.
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Of course, these five companies are very great.
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But don't forget that FAANG+m will be further expanded.
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And imagining this is very fun to do.
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In contrast to their image that they already have, they are branching towards other industries.
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If we can estimate where they will branch out, this is very fun to do.
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And the method of estimating this is knowing the executive's vision and mission.
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First, Facebook.
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Facebook's CEO, Mark Zuckerberg mission and vision is,
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Communication between people.
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They have a vision that is focused on connecting people.
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And so they know that people want to be connected to each other.
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And knowing for sure that there is a business chance to this.
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And in assisting this, they had this as a vision where they knew it will be a successful business.
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And so they made apps like the Facebook messenger app or apps like WhatsApp
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That are used for communication.
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It is the same for Instagram.
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It is further expanding.
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In branching out to services such as calling, payment, money transfer such as Libra,
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It is an extension line from people being connected.
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And it is very different, they do not do work.
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They do work inside that mission.
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And so when they estimate on how to expand within that mission, they become very strong.
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It is written in this book.
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In 2019, they started a service called Horizon.
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It is a service where you create an Avatar and communicate.
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And currently, various communication industries, such as Zoom, are growing rapidly.
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It is written like this in the book.
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They say that Facebook should have 'Bought Zoom pre-COVID stocks...'
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But due to COVID, Zoom's stocks have explosively grown and now it is hard to buy.
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But everyone wants Zoom's functions.
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And any company out of FAANG+m
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Is implied that there might be a chance in the future where they will totally buy out Zoom.
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And communication and exchange.
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Whether in Zoom or Avatars.
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And just like this, communication methods will greatly change.
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These avatar exchanges are separate from smooth communication from now.
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And gives the feeling that you are right in this space.
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And they do this by combining VR AR technology and wearable devices.
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And this might be a middle point in feeling like you are actually together with that person.
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And Libra.
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Money exchange is already being done in companies like LINE.
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Allowing money exchange is a really big thing.
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Not only Facebook, but also Amazon is thinking about money exchange.
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For Amazon
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They are trying to reach out in loans and insurance.
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It is like a promise, there might be such a thing like Amazon loan.
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Just like Sony's property insurance, there will be an Amazon insurance.
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Why is that?
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Because they can earn data.
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If you look at someone's Amazon purchase history.
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You can tell what income and purchase they have.
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And estimate their economic ability right?
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Things like 'This person spends a lot, they buy a lot'
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'They buy a lot, then I'm not going to lend to you~'
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It might come to 'I'm not going to apply insurance~'
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On the contrast, when it is a person that has credit, they will provide loans or insurance.
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And if you see the flow of money,
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They have a data on their credit.
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Services like this become possible.
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In China's Alibaba, they already have this in progress.
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Things such as 'Zhima Credit' or 'Alipay'.
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And they think in extension to data that they get from the companies.
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And so Facebook, Amazon, and Alibaba, they think all the same.
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It is this very one thing.
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As they make money transaction smoother, they collect data.
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And they are planning to branch out to the finance industry.
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They are planning to enter either loans or insurance industry.
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And one more interesting thing here, Amazon mansion.
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What is Amazon mention?
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You might say 'I've heard of other mansions but Amazon mansion?'
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What we mean by Amazon Mansion is,
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Real estate.
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It might be hard for them to advance.
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I'll give an example, if there is Amazon Mansion,
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There are of course Amazon products inside this such as Amazon Echo and Alexa.
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There is a screen where Amazon's Fire TV is plugged in
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And there are various Amazon products everywhere.
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What do they want to do with this?
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There are of course smart appliances in there.
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If we talk to Alexa
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We can turn off the lights, or raise or lower the temperature.
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We can hear about the weather, or other various informations.
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And due to this, they take all the data.
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They take all the data from the living environment.
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Thus, with the plus and minus from the data, they discount the rent.
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It is an apartment where they say 'In exchange for cheap rent, give us data'
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Isn't that amazing?
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It doesn't really connect with me yet..
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I think it would be like living while being under surveillance.
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It seems as if you entered a really dangerous apartment.
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But this is becoming more of the norm.
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But what is better?
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In everyday life, we are sending data to Amazon.
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We search on Amazon, and it is easier to talk to Alexa.
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'Just by taking data they will discount rent? It wouldn't be too bad..'
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'Should I try living there?'
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There is no actual loss, they do not do actions where they invade your privacy.
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But the big data is once connected to the support of the customer.
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And if Amazon can have a great win, Amazon Mansion would be a big hit.
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One more, in this book, not to lose to Amazon Mansion
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They introduced that there might be a thing such as Apple Hotel.
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What kind of Hotel is an Apple hotel?
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First, the design is very cool.
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It feels as if Apple made it.
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There is a place where you put your Iphone in the room, and if you put the Iphone on top of it.
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It is customized to set the lights or music to the one that the person likes the best.
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It is customizable.
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With their personal data, everything is predicted.
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And even if they don't set it one by one, this service customizes the setting for you
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Through this thing called an Apple hotel.
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By combining things such as design power, brand influence and customized music or videos
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They are trying to go from software to hardware.
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It is like this.
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No one thought that Amazon would make a convenience store.
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That is Amazon Go.
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Why would a Internet company put out a physical store?
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Because if you have an actual shop, you can earn more data.
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And Apple and Amazon are doing this.
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And Apple and Amazon are doing this.
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And it is very closely related to Wearable Devices.
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Apple Glass and Apple Airpods.
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Right now, the thing that Apple is putting immense effort is trying to take over the five senses.
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Taking over the five senses.
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Recently, Airpods are made so that you can continuously be worn.
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When you wear Airpods tightly, the surrounding noise is cancelled and you might say 'What? I should take out the Airpods!'
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But they put on microphones that detect outside noises.
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And if you wear the recent models of Airpods, you can hear outside noises.
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I'm actually using this also.
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If you press it like this, you can stop outside noises or hear it.
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They have microphones on it.
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And this is nothing but a process.
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For people who are saying 'Yes, I can hear outside noises~ I'll just walk like this~'
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You aren't understanding yet.
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Why did they try so hard to put a function like this?
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It is because they wish for you to continuously have it on.
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It is because Apple wants you to continuously have it on.
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Airpods will be the default of humanity.
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They want to make us into life forms that have Airpods on.
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They are continuously wearing it.
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What do we need now? Charging.
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But if wireless charging is available?
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We can't take it off.
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A future like this is waiting for us.
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Apple Glass is very light and they keep on repeating data.
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And if it is a design that is well wearable?
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And it is wireless?
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Humanity will become a life form where wearing Airpods and Apple Glass is a default.
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And if this future comes, Apple Hotel will definitely be pleasant.
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If you enter in a state where you wear Airpods and Apple Glass, everything will be pleasant.
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They are trying to make a hotel where a pleasant state is default, and even recommend things to you.
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It's interesting right?
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And when it is that state, we have to think about what things we can do.
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And Netflix.
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You have to imagine what will happen when Netflix's recommendation function is further upgraded.
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What is so amazing about Netflix, is that the screen changes.
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The thumbnail changes.
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When they notice that a certain person likes a certain actor,
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Even if a show has the actor as a side character,
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They put the actor on the center and appeal that this actor is on it.
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For children, they only show the character's faces.
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And depending on who is the user they change the screen several times.
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And Netflix does this by changing the recommendation screen.
-
And the next estimated thing is multi endings.
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When they predict that a certain person likes a certain genre of story,
-
For instance, they like happy endings, or they like violent things and they predict it.
-
In one show, this person likes violence so they add violence.
-
And for instance, in season two of 'The Naked director'
-
The end can end very messily,
-
Or it can end in where the female actress hugs the lead.
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And through the multi ending, they can further elevate the satisfaction of the customer.
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How is this possible? Because it is an original content.
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Since it is a Netflix original, they can make multi endings beforehand.
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And if they make five patterns which are popular ending patterns, everyone will like it.
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And they make stuff that other media contents cannot make.
-
It's interesting.
-
And Google.
-
Google in one words is a search engine.
-
But with the power of Google Map data.
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It is promised that they can also appear as a robot taxi along with Tesla.
-
By buying out a company called Waymo
-
They are putting quite the effort on mobility.
-
They cruised around the world with Google Maps.
-
And the data that comes along with it and robot taxi.
-
Would Tesla be faster, or Google?
-
Robot taxi, this is also very focused on.
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And one more, they are going to a dimension where they aren't searching anymore.
-
Even before Google says 'I'll Google this!' They block it before it is searched.
-
'You are going to Google this? I'm not going to let you~'
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'I saw you Google stuff like this everyday'
-
And they will prevent Googling just like this.
-
It is an immense transformation.
-
They won't let you Google it anymore, because they've seen you Google things before.
-
'I know~ I saw that you've been Googling restaurants every Sunday'
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'You're going near here right? Because you like the area around this station.'
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'You usually go to restaurants in Ginza.'
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Things like 'Go here, it will be good here.'
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They are trying to go to a world 'Before Searching'.
-
It is beyond our imaginations.
-
Geniuses like this are living in such a world
-
And venture capitals see it before hand and catches it.
-
And feel as if these companies will grow.
-
And they can see what companies to buy in order to branch out to a certain industry.
-
Thus, FAANG+m wants to do something.
-
And there is a venture that is a perfect fit for that industry?
-
They can see whether or not to buy it.
-
And so judging whether the company's worth is going to go up, or grow
-
They can invest based on that.
-
And so information is a weapon.
-
Data is the oil of the 21st century, it is a resource.
-
And so knowing information is important.
-
[Next episode- Essential skills to live boldly in the year 2025]
'Don't reply on companies and become independent and have ideas'
-
'Become a structural hole and survive by gathering information!'
-
The skills that this person tells us that we need.
-
First is English.
-
First is English.
-
Suddenly English.
-
'Ah~'
-
English, which a lot of Japanese people can't do.
-
Web community, PROGRESS.
-
[Nakata Atsuhiko Online salon PROGRESS, 3700 members, 980 yen a month]
[Youtube University Watch]
-
[Introduction (Member self introduction)]
-
[Theater (Member video upload)]
-
[TV (Member live stream)]
-
[Monthly Zoom meets]
-
[Home Room (Daily Live Stream)]
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A person can become anything, anytime.
-
Next is you.