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Xi Jinping's Days Are Numbered

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    Xi Jiping is in a life or death power struggle. 
    Is he more on the death side of things?
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    Welcome to China Uncensored, I’m Chris Chappell. 
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    It seems in all likelihood
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    He Weidong, one of China’s top 
    generals, has been purged. 
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    And if we’re talking about purges and 
    clandestine power struggles at the highest  
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    ranks of the Chinese Communist 
    Party, you know what that means!
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    It’s time for another episode of the People’s 
    favorite Communist soap opera—General Hostility.  
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    Previously on General Hostility, after more 
    than a decade in power, Xi Jinping has purged  
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    millions of Chinese Communist officials 
    in his so-called anti-corruption campaign.  
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    But anti-corruption is just a front for Xi’s 
    true intentions! Trying to take over the world!
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    Ok, it’s actually purging disloyal officials 
    to solidify his power over the CCP. And then  
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    trying to take over the world! But in 
    the face of a trade war with America,  
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    and a fraying economy at 
    home, are Xi’s days numbered? 
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    I love that show. 
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    So yes, 
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    Since Xi Jinping came to power in 
    2012, he’s purged a lot of people,
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    Particularly in the military.
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    This is pretty typical in Communist 
    China. It happens every 10-15 years.
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    In 1959, Mao Zedong purged Marshal Peng Dehuai, 
    China’s Defense Minister at the time. Why? Because  
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    Peng resisted Mao’s cult of personality. 
    He obviously lost that power struggle.
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    That sparked a huge round 
    of purges in the military.
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    Fast forward to the 1970s.
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    Mao’s chosen successor, Marshal Lin 
    Biao, allegedly tried to assassinate Mao,
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    And so Mao began another massive purge 
    of top officials in the military. 
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    When Deng Xiaoping led the CCP,  
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    a failed Chinese invasion of Vietnam 
    led to another round of purges.
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    When Jiang Zemin came to power in 
    the 90s, boom, more military purges.
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    You get the idea.
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    Purging the military is just what CCP leaders 
    do. It’s on their list, along with genociding  
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    a religious and/or ethnic minority of their 
    choice, and trying to take over the world. 
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    When Xi Jinping became the leader of the 
    CCP, he was in a massive power struggle  
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    with a political faction tied to former CCP 
    leader and current pickled toad Jiang Zemin. 
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    So of course he purged all the military 
    officials promoted under Jiang. Well,  
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    almost all of the military officials. 
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    Xi purged General Guo Boxiong, 
    who was in charge of military  
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    development and General Xu Caihou, 
    who was the political commissar. 
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    They had been in charge for a long time,  
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    so almost every top Chinese military 
    official had been promoted by them. 
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    Xi’s purge was devastating. 
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    He completely reorganized the People’s 
    Liberation Army command structure.
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    And all the top positions 
    were now filled with people  
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    Xi personally promoted for their loyalty to him.
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    And that’s what’s so weird about this recent 
    round of purges. Xi is getting rid of people
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    like He Weidong, who are widely 
    believed to be Xi Jinping allies.
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    He Weidong was big. He got what’s called 
    in Chinese politics, a helicopter ride.  
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    Xi promoted him several ranks at once, right 
    to the top. In 2019, he was put in charge of  
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    China’s Eastern Command. In other words, 
    the guys who would be invading Taiwan.
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    Then two years ago, He was promoted to be 
    number three in China’s Central Military  
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    Commission—that’s the group that controls 
    the military. The number one position is,  
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    obviously Xi Jinping. 
    But the number two position
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    is Zhang Youxia, the only survivor 
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    of the purges of General Guo 
    Boxiong and General Xu Caihou.
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    So if you were placing bets on who Xi would 
    purge, you’d think Zhang Youxia , who was  
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    promoted by the generals appointed by 
    Xi Jinping’s arch enemy, would be way  
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    more likely. So why was it He Weidong? 
    Well, since this is the opaque world of  
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    inner Communist Party politics, there are 
    several explanations floating around. 
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    According to Miles Yu, who’s the director 
    of the China Center at the Hudson Institute,
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    When Xi collapsed all the different 
    departments of the PLA during his big  
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    reorganization I mentioned earlier, this 
    created a lot of overlap. Redundancies.
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    So with Generals Zhang Youxia and He Weidong,
    “They have overlapping core competencies.”
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    “that's why you got enormous internal struggle 
    and fight against each other for favor. So it's  
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    basically a turf war and that's why Xi 
    Jinping had to sacrifice one of them.”
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    Of course that doesn’t really explain why it was 
    He Weidong that got purged and not Zhang Youxia. 
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    So here’s another explanation.
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    It has to do with this guy—Miao Hua.
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    Miao was another member of the 
    Central Military Commission,  
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    and Xi Jinping’s main propaganda 
    guy for the military. So,  
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    a major Xi ally in the military. And he 
    got purged. That was a few months ago. 
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    Sinoinsider, a risk consultancy that 
    specializes in elite Chinese politics,  
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    suggests his purge could have been similar 
    to Chairman Mao’s purge of Lin Biao —a  
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    close ally that may have become too 
    ambitious for the Great Helmsman. 
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    “In the process of advancing 
    Xi’s political objectives,  
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    Miao could have inadvertently 
    cultivated his own power base,  
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    or was perceived by Xi as having cultivated a 
    power base that could threaten his interests.”
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    Life as a CCP official sounds very 
    stressful. If you don’t get enough power,  
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    you get purged. If you get too much 
    power, you also get purged. If you  
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    even look like you might be getting 
    too much power, you still get purged.  
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    So if you’re about to get purged, what can you 
    do to save yourself? Rat other people out. 
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    According to Yuan Hongbing, an 
    Australia-based Chinese dissident,  
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    Miao Hua, in order to save his own skin, 
    made sweeping accusations of disloyalty. 
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    How sweeping? He accused around 1,300 people at 
    all ranks of the Chinese military of disloyalty,  
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    including people above him, like He Weidong. 
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    But then there’s yet another 
    explanation floating around out there—
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    Xi Jinping is out of power. 
    As in, totally out of power. 
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    And General Zhang Youxia, 
    the number two guy in the  
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    Central Military Commission is really in charge. 
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    That’s why Xi allies are being purged. 
    Because now there’s a new guy at the top.  
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    As the guy basically in charge of China’s 
    military, Zhang would have a ton of power.
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    And Xi has certainly made himself 
    a lot of enemies over the years.
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    And with the Chinese economy struggling
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    Young people unable to find work
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    And a growing trade war with the United States
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    Maybe enough people within the Chinese 
    Communist Party have had enough.
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    And there certainly have been 
    coup *attempts* against Xi before.
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    But there are some problems with this.
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    Rumors of a *successful* coup against 
    Xi have obviously not always panned out.
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    And looking at Chinese state-run media, you 
    don’t get a sense that Xi’s going anywhere.
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    Instead you see, Xi Jinping Thought on 
    Culture leads path to national rejuvenation
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    And Senior official calls for thoroughly studying, 
    implementing Xi Jinping Thought on Culture
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    Officials at all levels, 
    particularly in the military,  
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    are still being told to study 
    Xi’s writings and speeches. 
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    Typically in Chinese Communist power struggles,  
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    *before* one faction topples another, they create 
    a narrative around it to sway public opinion. 
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    If Xi really were out of power, you wouldn’t 
    expect his propaganda to be so prominent.
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    The real test of Xi’s power will come in 2027 
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    at the 21st Party Congress.
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    And whether or not he gets, “elected” to 
    another 5 years as China’s supreme leader. 
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    Oh but don’t worry, there’s plenty of General 
    Hostility to watch before then. In fact, there are  
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    signs that there are bigger purges ahead. Not just 
    in the military, but throughout the entire CCP. 
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    Last month two CCP officials switched jobs. Now,  
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    that might not sound earthshaking, 
    but it’s highly unusual. 
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    In fact, unlike the military 
    purges that happen every decade,  
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    this has never happened before 
    since the CCP took over China. 
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    This is Shi Taifeng, who was in charge 
    of the United Front Work Department. 
 
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    He swapped jobs with this guy, Li Ganjie, who was 
    in charge of the Central Organization Department. 
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    The United Front is an incredibly important 
    department, because it’s in charge of influencing  
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    and subverting others for the CCP. Both 
    inside China and internationally. For example,  
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    all the influence campaigns targeting foreign 
    politicians are run by the United Front. 
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    These pandas? United Front operatives. 
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    But the Central Organization Department is even 
    more important than the United Front. Because it’s  
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    essentially the Human Resources Department for 
    the CCP. Except this HR Department can purge you. 
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    So if Xi Jinping is moving Shi Taifeng, 
    who’s considered one of his allies,  
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    to head the Central Organization Department, 
    that’s pretty big. Personnel issues are now  
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    a bigger priority for Xi than the United 
    Front’s influence and subversion campaigns. 
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    According to SinoInsider, “The move foreshadows a 
    sweeping purge or reassignment of officials in the  
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    Party, the government, and the military, 
    as well as major personnel changes.”
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    You know what that means.
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    In the Chinese Communist 
    Party, there is only one rule:  
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    live by the power struggle, 
    die by the power struggle. 
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    After a decade of purges, Xi Jinping still hasn’t 
    won. Will Xi start an earthquake inside the CCP,  
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    purged officials falling left and right? 
    Or will he himself finally be toppled?  
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    Find out next time, on General Hostility.
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    This show is only possible because 
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    Once again I’m Chris Chappell, see you next time.
Title:
Xi Jinping's Days Are Numbered
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Video Language:
English
Duration:
10:59

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